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The Conscience of Thoroughbred Racing

TAMPA BAY DOWNS – APR 24

With the threat of thunderstorms through out the day, we gave up all thoughts of grass, looked for the biggest fields we could find, settling on a full field of maiden claimers going two turns in search of chaos.

Sometime you can overthink things. Because Friday’s third race offers anything but chaos. We did the research, the video work and if the result features anything but either of two favorites, I will have been scooped.

Of the two horses, Hay Hay My My (5-2) and Mozano (9-5), we’re leaning toward the latter. Both are making similar drops to career low levels and each has angles in his favor. The former has better form for the dynamic, proven aptitude at two turns but on turf and synthetics, not dirt.

Mozano, however, has proven faster figures, on whatever scale you prefer, but sprinting not routing but there are three tie-breakers: His bottom side said says he wants two turns, his best efforts have come at this reduced level, the trainer is 24% profitable with beaten favorites and has been winning of late like the next super trainer.

The cherry on top is we thought he didn’t have a chance to show his best last out and Gary Wales is taking the re-ride–he was outrun but never left the fence. Check out the Tampa Bay Today Video, RACE 3 on APR 1. We’ll box the exacta and take Mozano straight, no lower than early line odds.

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