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UPDATE 3: AQUEDUCT’S JEROME ATTRACTS FIVE PLUS GULF’S ALL-STAKES LATE PICK 3 POSTED

HALLANDALE BEACH, FL, January 4, 2023 – We’ve all heard the term “small but select” when it comes to horse races. Small certainly applies to Saturday’s five horse Jerome Stakes for 3-year-olds, worth 10 qualifying points to the winner.

Select, however, will be determined after the running is done, but we will say this much. All but one have earned figures within two lengths of each other. Said another way, it’s wide open on the Thoro-Graph scale. Until then, connections rule the tote.

The rail horse, Drum Roll Please, for Brad Cox with Javier Castellano, is a deserving early line favorite at 1-1. He was third in the Remsen after breaking maiden given similar dynamics to Saturday’s.

Sweet Soddy J. is entered back in seven days off a blowout win at Laurel and was supplemented into this. Surely, this will be a class test but he is fast enough and appears to be a live 8-1 price shot.

El Grande O (9-5) is a talented New York-bred going out for Linda Rice with Kendrick Carmouche. His three wins have come racing among friends, but he was second in Saratoga’s Skidmore. Looms a strong threat.

Finally comes Regalo at 5-1. The Russells are shipping north from Maryland and coming in off a strong allowance win. But that was a two-turner and would need–and could get–a favorable trip and gain a major share of this. He is progressive, has won sprinting, and is well drawn outside.

Khanate (6-1) completes the field.

AQUEDUCT RACE TRACK

JEROME STAKES                                                                    Race 3

MOST PROBABLE WINNER: Drum Roll Please

BEST VALUE: Regalo

EXOTICA: Sweet Soddy J, Grande O

GULFSTREAM PARK

GINGER BREW STAKES Race 9

MOST PROBABLE WINNER: Life’s an Audible (2-1) a solid second to divisional leading Hard to Justify in Spa’s G2 Miss Grillo then was a little too keen in the BC Juvenile Turf, racing between horses three wide all the way, emptied out approaching headstretch, but stayed in the bridle one-paced thereafter. Fastest on the Thoro Graph scale, consistent good energy distribution and has regular partner Irad Ortiz Jr here.

BEST VALUE: Ozara is a progressive filly with a sharp win in the Wait a While in recent GP debut, loses Irad to Todd’s filly but picks up Tyler who broke the filly’s maiden on debut; wants it firm says Clement.

EXOTICA: Time to Dazzle (15-1), Buttercream Babe (15-1), Yatta (8-1), Independence Avenue (15-1).

LIMEHOUSE STAKES Race 10

MOST PROBABLE WINNER: Valiant Force (7-5) won Royal Ascot’s G2 Norfolk and was a fast-finish second in the G1 BC Juvenile Turf Sprint now makes main track debut with strong dirt pedigree and recent 47 1/5 gate breeze was fastest of 116 peers to win the week of DEC 30.

BEST VALUE: Sir Flash (8-1) after impressive maiden score seasoned in three consecutive stakes and was fourth last out after a ragged start, a strong mid-race move to the lead and stayed with 3-5 favorite in upper stretch battle before tiring late at Tampa Bay; attracts Luis Saez.

EXOTICA: Cuban Thunder (9-5)

DANIA BEACH STAKES Race 11

MOST PROBABLE WINNER: Agate Road (8-5) impressed winning the 2 Pilgrim and finished well too late after minor stretch issue in G1 BC Juvenile Turf.

BEST VALUE: Palm Tree (6-1) just missed in rough trip Pulpit over the course with improved energy distribution; switch to Jose Ortiz noted.

EXOTICA: Air Recruit (3-1), Reminder (6-1) [upgrade if rescheduled to Tapeta track]

When more than one horse listed per category, horses appear in order of preference. Best Value horses predicated on early line odds

this live column will be updated throughout the weekend with racing from Gulfstream, rain or shine

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2 Responses

  1. Boy that story about Where’s Chris and Constitutionlawyer colliding is sickening and heartbreaking. I’m sure no track has nearly the AM workout traffic that Belmont does, and they do a generally great job safety-wise, but I still wonder if this was somehow preventable. I do not have the expertise or information to make any conclusion like that though.

    It was on the training track, so perhaps the same thing just doesn’t happen on the main due to how immensely wide it is.

    I feel for Rick Dutrow and Ray Handal though; two of the absolute best at horse safety in the entire game. Just a terrible freak accident.

    1. Indeed, sad stuff, Doc. Unfortunately accidents happen … horse spooked by a car horn … loose horse running off and wrecking havoc with the horses around them … one of the horses became obstreperous and was out of control… anything could happen. Heart breaking for sure Doc.

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