The Horse Race Insider is a privately owned magazine. All copyrights reserved. “Bet with your head, not over it.”

The Conscience of Thoroughbred Racing



After losing Big Ben and suffering through a 0-3 start, the Black and
Gold are now riding a 3-game win streak wave behind backup QBs
Duck Hodges and Mason Rudolph. They are also right back in the
AFC North title chase. In fact, if the NFL playoffs were to start this
weekend, both the Steelers and the Rams would be the No. 7 seeds,
just missing invites in their respective conferences, behind the Colts
and the Vikings. Good news for the Burghers is their 8-1 ATS record
at home against .500-plus rested foes. In addition, head coach Mike
Tomlin is not only 8-2-4 ATS as a home dog, but he’s 10-5 SUATS against
the NFC West, including 6-1 SUATS a home. Meanwhile, the Rams
enter 1-8 SU and 1-7-1 ATS against .500-plus AFC North opposition.
With a lousy 0-4 SUATS record in this series (outscored 102-26) when
Pittsburgh arrives off win, we seal the deal with THE CLINCHER: The
Steelers are 17-2 SU and 15-2-2 ATS at home when coming off
a win and facing an opponent coming off consecutive wins,
including 11-0 SUATS versus non-division opponents.

BUFFALO over Cleveland by 10

We don’t want to beat a dead horse but it’s been our contention
from the start that Cleveland head coach Freddie Kitchens is in over
his head and the Browns are drowning with him. And the proof is
in the pudding: Cleveland is 2-6, and the only team since the 1970
merger to make the playoffs after starting the season 2-6 was the
1970 Bengals, who won their final 7 games to make the playoffs at
8-6. And then there is this then-and-now tale of the tape: Through
8 games the 2018 Browns were 2-5-1, 21.1 PPG, with a -41 point
differential. The 2019 Browns are 2-6, 19.0 PPG, with a -53 point
differential. And if that’s not bad enough, Cleveland is 1-11 SU and
1-10-1 ATS at home in Game Nine of the season. With no sign of
help coming anytime soon from the OL, QB Baker Mayfield has been
sacked multiple times in 7 games this season. Not good for a team
that leads the league in penalties (75). Nevertheless, Cleveland is 2-6
SU and 0-3 at home this campaign while Buffalo is 6-2 SU and 3-0
away this season. In addition, the Bills are 9-0 ATS since 2000 as road
dogs against foes coming off consecutive SU and ATS losses, with the
last loss coming as a favorite. Our guess is they will be tossing life
rafts from the Dawg Pound if Kitchens is still roaming the sidelines
after Sunday if the Browns falter. With it, we seal the deal with
THE CLINCHER: Cleveland 1-14 SU and 1-13-1 ATS at home on
Sundays against winning opponents.

Facebook Share
Twitter Share
LinkedIn Share

⚠ Before you comment

Our staff likes nothing better than to engage with the HRI Faithful and provide a forum for interaction on horseracing and sports. In that spirit, please be kind and reasonable; keep the language clean, and the tone civil. Comments from those who cannot comply will be deleted. Thank you.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *