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The Conscience of Thoroughbred Racing

LAWRENCE: BEST CFB UPSET

Navy over TULANE by 3

Tulane is a miserable 0-11 straight up and 3-8 against the spread in Game Two versus FBS opponents, and just 1-4-1 ATS in this series as a favorite. In addition, with the Green Wave needing a pair of fourth-quarter TD’s themselves to rally past lowly South Alabama last week (while losing the stats in the process), we’re doing a Fritz-fade today.

We will be watching closely to see if there are any negative effects from a possible midweek hit from Hurricane Sally in the New Orleans area, but we know full well that NOLA is a resilient town.

Meanwhile, after opting not to tackle in practice prior to the season due to the COVID virus, BYU blasted the Midshipmen 55-3 last week, Navy’s worst loss under head coach Ken Niumatalolo. “I erred on the side of trying to keep our guys safe and clearly that was a bad decision,” said Coach N. “That game was 1,000% my fault. We weren’t prepared.”

The good news for the Middies is military teams are 13-4-1 ATS when coming off a loss of 40+ points, including 9-1-1 ATS against foes coming off a win. We cement the call with THE CLINCHER: Military troops that score 3 or fewer points in a game have bounced back to go 16-2 ATS away in their next contest since 1982.

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