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The Conscience of Thoroughbred Racing

BEST COLLEGE UPSET PLAY

By Marc LawrenceLouisville over PITTSBURGH by 6

 This game, like Artie Johnson used to say on Rowan & Martin’s Laugh-In, looks verrrry interesting. The Panthers are off to a great start, going 2-0 SU while outscoring the opposition, 76-10.

Before reaching for your wallet, however, you should know those two wins came over Austin Peay and rapidly-descending Syracuse.

You should also know that Pitt ain’t it when it comes to earning money as home chalk, posting a weak 8-15-1 ATS record, including 0-5-1 ATS with a win percentage of more than .666 (Panthers failed to get the money as a 3-TD favorite versus the Orange last Saturday).

Yes, Louisville came back to earth a bit last week when the Cardinals got thumped at home by Miami, 47-34, but HC Scott Satterfield’s offense looks like it can trade points with anyone. The line on this game before the season began had the Panthers taking points, but today they’re laying close to a field goal, which tells us the wrong team could be favored here.

Pitt’s defense looks solid, holding foes to only 155 YPG while making them travel 31 yards to score a single point, but they’ll be put to the test in today’s high-noon start from Heinz Field. We wrap things ups with THE CLINCHER:

Louisville head coach Scott Satterfield is 17-4 SU and 12-5 ATS when coming off a loss, including 8-0 ATS when off a double-digit ATS loss

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