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The Conscience of Thoroughbred Racing

BEST NFL UPSETS, WEEK 9

By MARC LAWRENCETENNESSEE over Carolina by 4

Carolina QB Kyle Allen finally turned into a pumpkin last week
when he lost for the first time in six NFL career starts. With
it, the Panthers have now been outgained in each of their
last three games by an average -120 yards per game. Which
by our standards make them a non-desirable ‘leaking oil’
favorite today. Our best guess is should they lose today, a call
to Superman (Cam Newton) will be in the offing. And to that
we say, “Look up in the sky…” Granted, the invading Titans
have been dicey at best this season and enter today’s fray off
a phony ‘inside-out’ win over Tampa Bay last week. But they
are 14-6 SU and 13-6-1 ATS all-time against the NFC South,
including 9-1 SU and 9-0-1 ATS when not coming off a win of
6 or more points. With the home team in this series just 1-4
ATS all-time in this series, we comfortably turn it over to Titans.

Detroit over Oakland by 11

The Lions snapped a 3-game losing skid in last week’s 31-26 win
over the Giants, a losing streak that was no fault of QB Matthew
Stafford, who owned a 7-to-1 TD/INT ratio while tossing for
629 yards and a 62.3 completion rate. He then went out last
week and completed 25-of-32 (78%) for 342 yards and three
TDs in last week’s win. Now off the losing schnied, Detroit will
look to improve on its 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS record of late in this
series against an overwhelmed Oakland group finally playing
a home game for the first time since Week Two of the season
(yes, you read that right). Truth be told, the Black-and-Silver
have never been at home, especially as favorites (56-80-1 ATS
since 1990). In addition, the black patches are just 6-17 SU and
7-16 ATS all-time against the NFC North, including 3-13 SUATS
when Oakland sports a .500 or worse record. Coupled with the
fact that teams in their 3rd homer of the season are 1-6-1 ATS
in Game Eight since 2000 and it might appear that life on the
road wasn’t all that bad for the Raiders this season. To cap it
off, we call on THE CLINCHER: Oakland is 1-11 ATS in its
last twelve home games against NFC opponents.

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