SPA PARLAY ON WEDNESDAY

Before you think it’s a lot of Mahony we’re dispensing in the first of two Wednesday features, hear us out.

Of course, favorite Archidust (2-1) is going to be a tough out. His last on the Monmouth turf course was impressive, his numbers are fast and forward, and he’s a sprinter trained by Jorge Navarro. Oh, and Castellano rides.

Instead, we’re going for any value we can get on Neverland Rock (8-1), even if by his lofty standards, Steve Asmussen is struggling at this meet.

His figures are competitive with the favorite’s, his pattern is forward looking, he’s getting six pounds from the choice and when is it ever a bad idea to back Joel Rosario in upset situations?

Further, we think the current top of the ground footing will move him up. Willing to find out at the price and box the exacta as well.

In the more traditional feature, the Evan Shipman for state-breds 3 & up going nine furlongs, Mr. Buff (6-5) lays over, even if John Kimmel is possibly using this race as a bridge to the G1 Woodward, and might not have this guy fully cranked.

Considered a possibility for last Saturday’s Whitney, Kimmel opted for a softer spot offering big-time class relief. Regular partner Junior Alvarado appears to be more passenger than pilot in this spot. Mr. Buff is almost certainly going to be odds-on.

Consequently, we’ll take a one-way exacta with Dynamix Prime (5-1) and using Sea Foam (6-1), Control Group (8-1) and Twisted Tom in the third slot.

SUNDAY RESULTS: When the Waya pace developed as slowly as it did, Rockemperor, and the rest of the ralliers, had very little chance. Even at that, he wasn’t very good…As the race was run, Frank’s Rockette was probably best in the G2 Adirondack. Winning Perfect Alibi was very good. Magic Dance was a little flat when the real running started at midstretch; not a good day for the home team.

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4 Responses

  1. Got Delaware scoped, so I read your analysis of the two stakes at Saratoga. In the Mahoney I don’t see Archidust as a heavy favorite, or even the favorite. Neverland Rock tends to lose ground in deep stretch. Uncle Benny’s workouts are to slow to believe; think this youngster trained by Servis is going to be closing very fast with Irad up but he might run out of track going only 5 1/2 furlongs.

    In the Shipman Stakes Mr. Buff looks good on paper and will offer no value. I prefer Control Group who has been brought along slowly this year with aggressive rider Saez up. Will make Mr. Buff work in deep stretch.

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