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The Conscience of Thoroughbred Racing

TAKING A LOOK AT BELMONT

The two favorites in Friday’s Belmont turf feature are both exiting key races. While three winners came from Bound For Nowhere’s 96-5) last race, Diamond Jubilee (6-5), it took 12 next out starters. In Made You Look’s (2-1), the two winners from his last came from six attempts.

But the real story is the class relief Made You gets, dropping out of consecutive G1s. He moved prematurely to the lead and finished third in super miler Got Stormy’s Fourstardave. In the Woodbine Mile, he was floated conservatively seven wide at headstretch, losing all chance.

He should have enough tactical gas and a suitable race shape to fit him here and reuniting with winning partner Javier Castellano won’t hurt.

Taking Made You Look to win, no price restrictions, and key-boxing exactas with fellow turn-back Therapist (7-2) and sharp, freshened the claimed-two-back Maraud (15-1).

YESTERDAY: Limari ran well but was clearly second best to odds-on Daddy Is A Legend, very sharp and much the best in return. Boxed exacta paid a fair $12.20. Beats the proverbial sharp stick…

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3 Responses

  1. Terrible Ted

    Don’t like to think too much anymore, but here goes. Wesley Ward owns bound for Nowhere, at least that is what it says in the program. He scratched this one the other day at 5-1/2 furlongs, opting for this 7-furlong event, which tells me the absence from 22 June 2019 will be of no moment. All breezing works (would not want to give anything away would you?). He is faster than a speeding bullet, and more powerful than a locomotive. Despite the layoff, he comes up as my top TTT E.Q.U.I.N.E Rating number, as did Daddy yesterday. 4-Bound for Nowhere is bound for odds-on land, and the winner’s circle.

    No. Horse Race 8 M/L TTT

    4 Bound for Nowhere 6/5 3.57
    6 Made You Look 2 4.92
    5 Maraud 15 6.00
    8 Therapist 7/2 7.96
    7 Vici 8 11.63
    1 Sand Dancer 15 15.29
    2 Axtell 30 24.93
    3 American Rule 8 30.51

  2. No disagreement T, Bound For Nowhere is the faster of the two on virtually anyone’s scale, including BIG BAD TED’s E.Q.U.I.N.E.

    Faster than a speeding bullet? Maybe. More powerful than a locomotive? Yes, once that locomotive gets out of the shop. Lots of down time in this horse’s career. And there’s a fast dirt horse on the outside who might apply early pressure.

    My man, the late, great Cary Fotias, used to say, “live by the numbers, die by the numbers.” Well I don’t make a play without consulting performance figures first. After Cary passed, I worked out an arrangement with Jerry Brown, and so we trade product for promotion.

    Anyway, I, on the other hand, are about 55-45% It has been said that I’ve taught lots of horseplayers the art of race watching–many seminars given back in the day. I must watch races as well as measure speed.

    Yes, sometimes I get caught in the switches. But then Sheet numbers rule the tote board these days and the only way to spot that illusive price shot is to fine tune the art of race watching, searching for nuanced clues that elude many players.

    Anyway, if I’m right in suspecting Bound’s condition, then he’s worth beating in the exacta, too, that’s why he’s excluded above.

    As stated yesterday, when in doubt, beat the fave.

  3. Gotcha. Exactly. James 1:8. A double minded man is unstable in all his ways. Go with what you know. Don’t change horses in midstream. If the glove don’t fit…..Thank you for your comments. People should save them for when they find themselves in a quandry not knowing whether to zig or zag. The only puzzles I’ve ever enjoyed were of the pari-mutuel persuasion, and believe that properly weighted empirical data not readily apparent to the masses, along with such information as you mentioned must be utilized to gain an advantage. Betting on a horse like Bound for Nowhere will get you nowhere.

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