And we fully expect the pool in Louisville to reach seven figures. These are huge-field wide open affairs, each race featuring talented horses from high profile outfits. The point? Bring money.
Even if the sequence chalks out, the reward should be fair but to have a reasonable chance, the investment probably needs to be sizable. In the interests of the rank and file, we’ll drill down to keep the investment manageable.
The weather call is a chance of thunderstorms early in the day. With any luck, Churchill’s rapidly drying surface will have the track fast, albeit wet, for the first race of the sequence. Scheduled post is 4:08 pm, EST.
Below are horses that have captured our eye, a skinny analysis when the spirit moves, with grades for each contender:
RACE 7: SHAWNEE STAKES
(A) Dunbar Road (4-5), extremely classy G1-winning 3YO, in training since FEB, makes seasonal debut. She’s a Julie (2-1), same story, 4YO debut, training since FEB, G1 winner loves surface and trip.
(C) Vault (10-1), got good last fall, Cox taps Rosario, (6) 5-1-0 at trip
RACE 8: TEPIN STAKES
(A) Sharing (3-1) Breeders’ Cup JF Turf winner makes 3YO debut for Motion. Alms (3-1) must overcome draw, 4-for-4 lifetime including Grade 3, over three disparate courses.
(B) In Good Spirits (15-1) 2-for-2 on turf at 2; Little Al 24% 90-days+ layoffs. Abscond (8-1) tactical speed, well drawn with Tyler, needs patient handling.
RACE 9: BLAME STAKES
(A) Global Campaign (9-2) had good kick, grit in quick 7F prep return. Owendale (3-1) multiple graded winner at 1, strong placing in G1 Foster finale. Mr. Money (5-1) return a throwout; loves CD, big work, outside helps.
(B) Always Mining (20-1) sharp working trip specialist. Backyard Heaven (6-1) Maker looks serious about return with new runner. Extraordinary Jerry (12-1) earned extraordinary figure last out.
RACE 10: G3 MATT WINN STAKES
(A) Maxfield (5-2) was everyone’s Futures favorite after Arazi-like KEE Futurity. Pneumatic (4-1) 2-for-2 lifetime, Asmussen training him like a “good horse.”
(B) Ny Traffic (10-1) surprised at GP and keeps surprising despite class and distance increases. Major Fed (5-1) trip dynamics a LA Derby killer, good third in key race debut here last fall.
RACE 11: WAR CHANT STAKES
(A) Southbend (12-1) very troubled trip in last; well drawn, reunited Leparoux. Hieronymous (9-2) 4-for-5 lifetime, 2-for-2 at trip with Bridgmohan.
(B) Pixielate (6-1) has never run a bad one, training purposefully, first-time Rosario. Irish Commish (12-1) tactical speed, moves inside, Paco returns. Vanzzy (20-1) freaked in rapid Rushaway, turf debut. Field Pass (4-1) Maker/Ortiz team. Billy Batts (5-1) 2nd in BC Juvenile Turf.
(C) Bodecream (12-1), Street Ready (15-1), Fenwick Station (50-1), Smooth Like Strait (5-1), Bama Breeze (30-1)
As stated the play will be costly, try to find at least two, preferably three (A) races and spread with (B) horses thereafter. (C) horses better suited to vertical pools. All ‘A’ ticket: $24.