The Horse Race Insider is a privately owned magazine. All copyrights reserved. “Bet with your head, not over it.”

The Conscience of Thoroughbred Racing

TAMPA BAY TODAY-DEC 11

“Class on the grass.” You doubtlessly have learned that angle since you were old enough to bet as have I–and I intend to put it into practice in Friday’s turf finale in Oldsmar.

One can guess where or not Eye on the Finish (5-1) needed his recent Tampa return, his first effort since leaving Illinois the second week of October and perhaps even question her affinity for the local course, winless in four tries over the local lawn.

But not her most recent trip where she was given no chance. She raced as close to the outside fence as the inside rail–an exaggeration–but she never saw the wood, going from three wide first turn, to four wide backside and far turn, to nearly seven wide when carried out by an inside rival in the lane.

She finished with interest while only ridden out and was beaten less than four lengths. The last time she saw restricted claimers was three back, a winner of an Arlington N2L, followed by a nose defeat at this trip vs. better opens at Hawthorne, prior to her recent no-chance trip.

Don’t take our word. Judge for yourself on HRI’s Tampa Bay Today video, TAMPA BAY DOWNS, NOV 28, RACE 8.

Tomas Mejia takes a return call for Alnaz Ali and once again she’s drawn outside, which should help the price and has enough tactical gas to achieve better position. Properly spotted now she rates an upset call.

We’re betting Eye On the Finish at no less than 5-1 and key-boxing exactas with short-priced dropdown Pioneerof New York (2-1) with Gallardo and sharp Presque Isle ship-in and price shot, Twila Mae (8-1)

Share on facebook
Facebook Share
Share on twitter
Twitter Share
Share on linkedin
LinkedIn Share
Share on email
Email
Share on print
Print

⚠ Before you comment

Our staff likes nothing better than to engage with the HRI Faithful and provide a forum for interaction on horseracing and sports. In that spirit, please be kind and reasonable; keep the language clean, and the tone civil. Comments from those who cannot comply will be deleted. Thank you.

5 Responses

  1. Am in your backyard today and probably will be for most of the winter. Think Tyler will give Paco and Luis a challenge this meet.
    Looked at your Tampa race today. To tough for me. Quite a few figure. If you twisted my arm I would select Pioneer the probably favorite. Noted that ole’ Jersey shore boy Bravo did okay yesterday.

  2. Like both riders a lot, especially Tyler, but Joe’s hot and he’s not. FIrst time I remember seeing him slump since he gained elite status.
    Tampa race tough for me too, and believe your choice the most probable winner, but if I’m right about mine, the price will be square, hence…
    And let’s not forget Irad. If Chad is clicking, so will he…

  3. Very thrilling race (just watched the replay). Hope you changed your mind about your selection having to be 5/1 minimum; an idiosyncrasy of yours that I find a bit odd. What’s wrong with 5/2 on any plodder?

  4. Fortunately, with the bust day I net early in the day and haven’t even watched the race…and it’s Saturday. No rest for the wicked.

    Odds are relative to chance of winning, pre-scratches. He thought this horse could win 15 or 20 times out of a hundred, hence 4 or 5-1 would be fair.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *