With our propensity for the local turf course, we chose today’s eighth in Oldsmar for older claiming mares of the $16,000 variety, a full field of 10 and a contentious lot it is.
We whittled in down to three, but seemingly only one will offer the kind of straight value that attracts. Marmalade (3-1) is a worthy favorite off her recent good figure placing and high percentage connections; Gallardo in the boot for Darien Rodriguez, winning at 27% on the year.
Nevertheless, she doesn’t have much of an edge on Itsagmmie’s Girl (7-2) who won at this level three back and showed, in our view, a little better turn of foot than the nominal favorite. Nicely drawn inside, Gerald Bennett gives the re-ride to Samy Camacho for the LAY-2 effort.
But we’ll take whatever value may be offered on Antalya (5-1). For one thing, she hasn’t run this cheaply since last summer and finished sneaky well after altering course slightly in the lane, returning on eight days rest. She returns at her best trip where she’s 3-for-7, 2-for-20 doing anything else.
She loses Camacho to “Gimmies” but picks up strong finishing Angel Suarez for Tony Granitz whose barn has come alive of late. See what you think of her last and consider the competition, Tampa Bay Today Video, JAN 25, RACE 6.
we’re going to need close to early line odds for a straight play but will key-box exactas with her rivals above.