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The Conscience of Thoroughbred Racing

WORST STINKIN’ BET-FRIDAY

By Top Turf Teddy — The “Worst Stinkin’ Bet of the Day” for Friday, December 13, 2019, will be in the 8th Race at Aqueduct for 2-year old Maidens.

Today’s Tip from Teddy“If  you bet when it’s muddy, you’ll only get bloody.”

Friday the 13th, you gotta ask yourself a question, do I feel lucky?  Well do ya’ punk!!  Superstition and ridiculous wives’ tales abound in the racing world, and this reprobate railbird has heard them all.  Many persons claim to analyze the races devoid of such nonsense, but many axioms held as gospel by persons holding themselves out as “experts,” have no basis in fact whatsoever, and due to their use by the masses, is the reason we can identify many double digit winners, which is what I seek on a daily basis.

Make sure you rub your rabbit’s foot or talisman of choice profusely today before getting down on 1-Tapizearance, who ran in the slop last out, finishing last, totally out of character based on her 5 previous races.  Does this mean 1-Tapizearance does not like the slop?  Probably; most horses do not like getting mud in their face; do you??  Well do ya’ punk?  It does not mean that 1-Tapizearance cannot run well in the slop, which the crowd will assume is the case.  Based on that premise, you should get much more value on him than is warranted.  It is supposed to rain today at Aqueduct, and the track should be wet.  Although I rarely play when the track is off, trusting my figures here, which tell me that…….

1-Tapizearance is – The “Worst Stinkin’ Bet of the Day”

5-Sixteen Tons

No. Horse Race 8   M/L   TTT
             
1 Tapizearance 4.099179056   9/2   3.40
5 Sixteen Tons 3.710388905   2   3.75
6 Rejected Again 1.485867071   12   9.37
3 Robber Bob 1.227163856   5   11.35
2 Unbridled John 0.803972782   6   17.33
9 Money Ride 0.751619500   8   18.53
8 Super Wicked Charm 0.678078565   10   20.54
7 John Want Revenge 0.597700192   50   23.31
10 Fortune Found 0.575984250   12   24.18
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