By Dave Brower, Meadowlands Handicapper — Early Double Analysis — Saturday, April 10, 2021 —
1 WESTERN SHOWGIRL – She was good again last week, scooting up the pylons for a solid placing at 42-1. I like the rail for her tonight, as Vinny just has to sit in, save ground and try to get lucky late. Could happen again.
2 ANNE BONNEY N – Got a little freshening after a few starts early in the year. That worries me a little bit. Maybe she got sick? Back now, off a slow, but decent-looking qualifier. Is she primed and ready for this? Probably not.
3 ITS MESMERISE N – We’ve watched her go around there quite a few times this year, but we might be able to make a case she’s tailing off a touch? It won’t be long until she can drop a notch in class, and then the wakeup call happens.
4 TEAM KIWI N – The first of what should be MANY Canadian invaders to the east coast. Looks like Kelvin bought this one. She comes off a gutsy effort a few weeks ago. She seems to fit this class perfectly. Wouldn’t talk you off with DD.
5 WINDMEUPWATCHMEGO – Also performing well of late, but she gets forced UP the class ladder tonight. She hasn’t been quite this high in a while, so she will have to prove it all over again. The right kind of trip in the flow would help.
6 STELLENBOSCH – Burned a LOT of money over her past three starts, but she’s more than capable of getting it all back here. The slight drop is the key. Scotty Z will try to “steal” a softer pace, but it’s never that easy. Daylight helps speed.
7 PAPPY ROCKS – Gave leading Ohio trainer Bill Rhoades his first Big M win, in his very first start here! So, congrats for that! The pricetag, and task go up significantly tonight, but it’s never easy to ignore that Tetrick guy, Got along w/her.
8 SHEIKH YABOOTY N – Ordinarily, I’d like her in a spot like this on the drop. But, maybe not tonight? I know she’s capable of the blast-out leave, but she’ll have plenty of company if she tries. Could also set up mayhem?
Andy McCarthy 3 over 8
Scott Zeron 6 over 2
Top Contenders 4-6-1-7
1 ISLAND OF THE SEA – I feel bad for ya if you bet in his two comebackers at home base. Beaten favorite both times. But, let’s not forget this guy paced Hoosier in 48 and change last year! Has the talent! Might be lot stronger here.
2 ROCKIN THE ACES – Hasn’t been getting lucky lately, but that can always change. Aces has been stuck in some real tough spots lately, so let’s not be too hard on him. This does look easier. I will toss him onto the ticket for sure.
3 BOURBONS COURAGE – Somebody in here has to be the longshot. This is it. Overmatched with these?
4 BARRAGE HANOVER – I really don’t know what to tell you about that last start. He kind of hit the cones, stayed in and wasn’t exactly loaded late. The race was over up front, so never really got geared up. Needs different trip now.
5 ROCKIN ROCKO – I would classify his comebacker as a clunker. Had zero effort late and I just hate to see that. Yes, he might have needed it. Yes, he could bounce back better here. But, sometimes, I need to see it first. Barn has two!
6 WHAT YA THINKIN – Invades from the Meadows and into a new barn. That’s been a good angle for the barn a few times this year. But, this is a very quick and talented bunch, so he will need absolute best to continue that roll.
7 ENVIRONS HANOVER – Like #4, he comes off a bit of a regression. Barn gave him an extra week off. You can always excuse one bad start. He was just SO good before that. Can’t wait to see if he comes back with best. Expect it.
8 SEA OF LIFE – Yes, he DID improve a little in the second start off the bench. That should continue! I wouldn’t be shocked if Tim T took a sent and sent out of there tonight. He won’t win it from last. Take a shot if price is right.
Dexter Dunn 4 over 2
Top Contenders 8-7-2-4