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The Conscience of Thoroughbred Racing


By Dave Brower, Meadowlands Handicapper, Early Double Analysis, Saturday, September 4, 2021

Race 1

1              A BETTOR BEACH – EVERY horse in this field drops in class tonight, so that makes it very hard to handicap. This gelding shows mixed form recently, but he does have some good history here and the pole makes him interesting.

2              HEZA REAL DIAMOND – When he’s right, he would probably just crush these. We’ve seen the Diamond beat much better than this, but he does go in-and-out of form sometimes. IF he’s good tonight, we’re going to see big speed.

3              REIGNING DEO – I guess this is a barn change? He’s missed a few weeks, but we all know BP can have one ready at any time. There are plenty of lines in his past that would be good enough to win this. We just have to guess.

4              PALOMAR – Moved back into the Sodano barn after a bit of time off, and he’s already back in good form. Yes, he might actually be facing a better bunch tonight, off the Vernon race, but he’s sharp again. Dangerous to ignore. Trainer: Freshened up for this meet at M1. Showed his grit up at Vernon off the layoff. Luke has a feel for him now. I like this spot a lot for him.

5              MAJOR DECEPTION – Trish Adams moved a few back to Club Med tonight. I’m sure they were imagining easier spots than this. It’s been a long time since this gelding won here. And, he’s got no wins yet this season. Tough to like a lot. Trainer: Raced well last start. Needs to be close, but should like the big track.

6              BRAZEN BRAZILIAN – He’s 0-24 so far this year, so that’s a problem. Down from the Spa and into a field full of other dropdowns. That’s probably not going to work out too well.

7              SOHO CHELSEA A – No recent wins. Been racing just okay lately at other places. I have to prefer others for now.

8              ENOUGH SUN – Not exactly getting much love from the post gods lately. And, he’s not exactly the strongest leaver out of the gate. But, G Nap got him to go forward two back. It’s not in his nature to just take up and back to last.


Top Contenders  2-1-4-3

Race 2

1              CHABLIS – Filly has still not won a race! Crazy, huh? She actually did race well Hambo Week with a nice rally. This inner post should give the Captain a few more options of staying closer. I’m not calling her a cinch, but she has chance.

2              DRAIN THE SWAMP – When you look over to the right and you see 1-48 in the record column, it doesn’t usually lead me to your corner. On other hand, gelding is cranking out the checks. He will look for that again.

3              SEVENSHADESOFGREY – Yes, the NYSS finals are next week, so this is purely a prep. Always consider that. But, this isn’t really a bad spot for the colt. He’s been a little better this year at three. Gets back on big track. A maybe.

4              CHURCH SOUT – He’s just 1-41 lifetime, so I invoke the same rule as #2. He’s actually rounded into better form for his new barn, so maybe he can crank out a check in here. Will stalk, and try to rally. Trainer: Has a good late kick and I can’t wait to try him at the Meadowlands.

5              ARGENTO – Is clearly the big longshot of the bunch. I would be shocked if he jumped up and won this. Pass.

6              YEAR OF THE BRIDE – Here’s a filly that’s done some decent work for her new barn too! But, doing it at Philly, and doing it here are sometimes two different things. G Nap seems to get along with her, so let’s see more here, please. Trainer: Racing well right now and I think she’ll like the bigger track.

7              CARUSO – Well, folks, he’s either going to win by a block, or make another break. You make the choice. Lays over these on class and speed, but he makes some of those breaks for no apparent reason. I don’t know what to tell you.

8              CREDITRINA – I really do wish he’d drawn a better post. We can all see the speed, but he potentially runs into another speed threat in #7. Stamina is also a minor issue here. Will the bigger track pick him up? I am not so sure.


Top Contenders  7-3-1-6

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