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The Conscience of Thoroughbred Racing

BROWER IN THE BIKE- APR 30

By Dave Brower, Meadowlands Handicapper — Early Double Analysis — April 30, 2022

Race 1

1              TOOKADIVEOFFDIPPER – He’s come back razor sharp for the Alagna Armada and continues his march up the class ladder. This is no easy spot, but he gets major post relief and plots for a nice stalking trip right behind the speeds.

2              HAIL CHRISTIAN N – He dropped and popped again. And the bettors knew it, sending this guy off as the 3/2 favorite last week. Takes the big bump back up and this is where the waters get deep for him. If he beats me, he beats me.

3              MAYHEM HANOVER – He’s come around a little bit in those last two. Clearly outraced his odds here. Should still offer a square price if you think he can get any closer. I’m not so sure about that. But, I’ve been wrong before.

4              JACK’S SHADOW N – His first start of the year wasn’t particularly good, but that can happen. Had a very good year last season with nine wins. So, it may take a little time, but he will return to form soon. Just try to guess when.

5              ARTIE’S IDEAL – Had a good stretch war with Leon last week, and they hit the wire together. Fun race to watch! They both possess good speed, if the pilots want. It’s not a big field, so they both may go. They’re both stepping up too!

6              LEON DAVID – Leon surprised me last week, with a big mile despite the big class hike. He steps up again, but it’s dangerous to ignore sharp horses. His speed is solid, IF Joe B wants to use it early. Leon is versatile.

7              DE LOS CIELOS DEO – Deo got caught up in some pretty tough fractions last week, so let’s not be too hard on him. I think tonight’s problem is the post. All that speed just inside him. This is going to be a lot tougher than the rail in last.

DRIVER CHOICES:

Andy McCarthy 5 over 3

Top Contenders  5-1-6-2

Race 2

1              PALOMAR – This is one of the eligible class droppers and poppers. I like this post for him, as long as he can avoid traffic trouble. Should be close enough to get that stalking trip he likes. Might offer square price too!

2              AS ALWAYS – Sometimes it is hard to believe you can pace a mile in 50 flat and not get a check! I guess we’d better get used to it. Gets some key post relief here and he does seem overdue to step his game back up. A maybe.

3              EL’S DISCO JOHNNY – Took a couple of spins over at Yonkers and was okay. Won three-in-a-row here prior to that. He’s out of the claimers, which I usually say is a positive sign. But, how much tougher is this spot? Good question.

4              LIKE CLOCKWORK – He’s pretty good right now too! But, that was too tough a trip for him last time. Extra week off usually helps. He’s in the mix here, but no cinch. Probably a decent price for the Tetrick fans. Your call, folks?

5              ELVER HANOVER – Duked it out with those heavies over at Yonkers and wasn’t quite up to the task. So, he needs a drop like this, and a potential confidence builder. He’s a VERY good horse, folks. Do not toss him out lightly.

6              BETTER TAKE IT – Working his way down the class ladder, and I guess eventually he will get there. But, I’ll keep him on the longshot list until I see a better effort. The outer post won’t help his chances either.

7              WATER SPORTS TEEN – Really don’t know what to tell you here. He’s been a tad disappointing since coming back. Especially since his qualifiers were pretty good. They ramped him up to stakes level last year. Needs a bigger mile.

DRIVER CHOICES:

Dave Miller 2 over 6

Top Contenders  5-2-7-1

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One Response

  1. Dave: You guys do a great job with one exception. Why do you feel you must keep talking until the gate is on top of the starting line? It makes no sense. Cut it off 20 seconds before the field is released and give those watching every opportunity to get down. When one is watching more than one venue, you guys talking until a few seconds before the start causes me to miss a few races. Some of us can’t stay glued to the screen every second. Please cut off the pre race chatter when the gate is on the move at least 15-20 seconds before the field is released.

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