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The Conscience of Thoroughbred Racing

BROWER IN THE BIKE – JULY 9

By Dave Brower, Meadowlands Handicapper — Early Double Analysis — Saturday, July 9, 2022

Race 1

1             TOWNLINE ALL GOOD – One of four invaders here from other tracks. Gets in via the alternate Trackmaster rating for non-winners. I honestly just don’t think he’s good enough to beat a field like this. Will have to prove me wrong.

2             DECOY – Tough call here. Just toss that last one when he was overmatched. This seems more like it, but it’s still no easy task. Most of his wins come at lower levels, so I’m not totally confident he can do this. I guess we’ll find out.

3             BIG CHIC MAGNET – Makes second start for the new barn here and really found some “friends” down at Philly. So, the transition back to Club Med will be difficult. Will have to step up his game, but maybe he can. I don’t know.

4             CASINO BAGS ANSO – I used him last week and he raced okay. I guess nobody was catching that leader that night. So, maybe we should give him another chance? It is a step up, in my opinion, but somebody has to win this.

5             WHAT THE LUCK – I thought he would bounce back big last week and he did! Just came up a tad short when collared by Bell Family for second week in a row. Seems like the controlling speed again for Dex. Will have to deal with Tux.

6             MIDNIGHT LIGHTNING – After beating the “pro” drivers two back, Jon A found himself in a much tougher situation last time and was no threat. This doesn’t look all that much easier, so I will rate him a longshot again.

7             ARQUE HANOVER – I have guessed right on this guy in the past, but I’m not sure this is the right spot. I’m not in love with the post, or facing the other speeds. Maybe we watch one? Hope for better spot next time?

8             TUXEDO BAY – Looks like the other main competitor in this very tough to handicap race. I know it’s an outside post, but Sears hops back in bike and can easily create speed. That makes big difference. I wouldn’t talk you off.

9             ROCKABILLY CHARM – Poor Billy gets slammed by the post gods again. It’s killing him! Somehow held on for a check last time, despite an impossible journey. He’s good now, but has a lot to overcome tonight. Your call?

DRIVER CHOICES: Dave Miller 2 over 9 Dexter Dunn 5 over 6

Top Contenders  5-4-8-2

Race 2

1             HP MAMA B – Tim T did a really nice job of nursing her speed along in the final preliminary leg. It still wasn’t enough to fend off the two faves, but a solid try nonetheless. May try to do the same thing again? That’s all she can do.

2             BELLA BELLINI – When you sweep the field like she did two back, and then do it again in lifetime best, that says you’re razor sharp! There is absolutely no reason to think she won’t do it again. Just expect a VERY short price.

3             HERCULISA – Probably has the best chance of knocking off the big fave, only if she has a bad night! Lisa is pretty good in her own right. I do wonder what the plan will be in short field? Did a lot of the dirty work in last leg.

4             CINDY MICHELLE – Had every chance in the last leg, but wasn’t really gaining any ground. Drew outside the main players here. Totally at mercy of pace and trip tonight. But, she IS guaranteed a share of the $125K!

5             CHABLIS – Hasn’t been much of a match for these, but gets very lucky to have the short field. Will just go around there

DRIVER CHOICES: None

Top Contenders  2-3-1-4

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