The feature for us, as HRI regulars are well aware, is virtually any race on the Tampa turf and the Sunday finale is a good one, a preliminary allowances fraught with contenders.
Most of the talent in this 1-1/16th miles is drawn to the outside and while a plausible case can be made for four of them, we’ve narrowed it down to two: Standoff (4-1) and Sensitivity (7-2), before we dug a little deeper.
That only further confused things as we loved both trips.
Clearly, Sensitivity had a hard time adjusting to the Turfway synth–last going down the backstretch after racing with the pace on turf in her three prior runs.
She saved ground throughout, was steadied briefly entering the far turn before finishing well too late in deep stretch in close quarters on the fence. Turf, and Pablo Morales, is what she wants to do.
However, we couldn’t help being impressed with the Kelly Breen trainee who won smartly on debut. She showed speed to engage wide early, taken taken over to the fence, showing handiness, was tipped 4-wide entering and finished strongly to win going away.
We love the AW to Turf angle but were impressed with Standoff and her potential. And knowing that Breen is 28% effective coming off a maiden breaker and the presence of Samy Camacho sealed the deal.
We’re taking Standoff to win at 3-1 or greater and an exacta box with Sensitively, faster and may offer better value. As stated, interesting race.
One Response
Riders Up time on your analysis John. I hope I don’t kill your payout, lol.