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The Conscience of Thoroughbred Racing

WEEKEND’S BEST NFL UPSET

ATLANTA over Carolina by 10

Atlanta’s win over New Orleans last week was shocking – or was
it? Last week we called out on these pages the fact that the Saints
were in a highly vulnerable position. With that, here is an excerptfrom Marc’s weekly column in this week’s edition of the USA TODAY SPORTS WEEKLY: There were a total of four teams that were expected to enjoy winning seasons that each owned losing  marks at the midway point of the 2019 NFL campaign: the Atlanta Falcons (8.5), Chicago Bears (9), Cleveland Browns (9) and the Los Angeles Chargers (9.5). Collectively they stood 9-23 through eight games of the season, with the Falcons the largest disappointment at 1-7, followed by the Browns at 2-6, and the Bears and Chargers at 3-5. Last season the team that dramatically bounced back after an underachieving start was the Dallas Cowboys (8.5), who were 3-5 after eight games only to close out the regular season by going 7-1 SU and 6-1-1 ATS. That being said, beware of Atlanta, a team that stands just 2-7 this season but is 7-2 ITS (In The Stats), while collectively outyarding opponents overall this season. On the flip side, the Panthers are 5-4 this year despite being outgained on the season, including four of their last five battles. And as we also mentioned last week, the league has plenty of game film on Carolina QB Kyle Allen, whose numbers are falling faster than temperatures in the northeast. With the Falcons 8-1 ATS as dogs when coming off a SU underdog win, look for the Dirty Birds’ second-half regression to the mean to continue today as they improve to 7-1 SUATS in their last eight games in this series. And also chipping in is added support from THE CLINCHER: The Falcons are 8-1 ATS as dogs when coming off a SU underdog win, including 7-0 ATS as dogs of 2 or more points.

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