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The Conscience of Thoroughbred Racing

BEST COLLEGE UPSETS 1102

BYU over UTAH State by 7
It’s getting to be nitty gritty time for the 3-4 Cougars who will need
wins in three of their final five games to earn a bowl ticket and
head coach Kalani Sitake is hoping the circle will be unbroken in this
trip to Logan. The Mormons always seem to play well after taking
on Boise State, covering four of the last five times in that role and
an extra week of prep time after upsetting the Broncos for the first
time since 2015 certainly won’t hurt. Back-up QB Baylor Romney
stepped up big time in that contest (unlike his great-uncle on his last
presidential campaign), as Sitake emptied his bag of tricks to set up
the youngster for a couple of TD passes. Matt Wells beat BYU in the
Battle for the Old Wagon Wheel during his last two seasons at USU
before heading out to Lubbock and it will be up to Gary Andersen to
retain it now that he has returned to Aggie Nation. However, once
again it’s the sizzling MIDWEEK ALERT that peeks his head in the
door to remind us that Utah State is being outgained by a whopping
-229 YPG since the beginning of October while the Mormons have
won the stats by an average +46 YPG over the same time frame.
If you’re still in doubt, you know should be sure and look to THE
CLINCHER: BYU head coach Kalani Sitake is 14-6 ATS away,
including 5-0 ATS with revenge.


USC over Oregon by 10

We love Mario Cristobal – a stellar offensive lineman and then
assistant coach at Miami who went across town to lead FIU to
a couple of winning seasons during his six years there. Later, he
became an assistant to Nick Saban at Alabama and is now 16-4 in
his year-and-a half at Oregon. Since losing to Auburn in the opener
this season, the Ducks allowed just one touchdown per game in fi ve
straight, but the defensive wheels came off in the past two weeks
when his stop unit gave up 9 TDs to Washington and Washington
State combined. Still, a win is a win and his Quack Attack came
through when it counted to pull out comeback wins and remain
in the hunt for a College playoff berth. Now, he must take on a
suddenly-prolifi c USC team that fi nds itself tied for the Pac-12 South
lead with Utah, while there is no pressure on the Ducks with their
cushy 2.5-game lead in the North. The Trojans are 14-6-2 ATS as
home pups, including 9-1 ATS with a .625 or fewer win percentage.
Everyone knows Justin Herbert and his bright future as an NFL QB,
but Clay Helton has a weapon of his own: freshman Kedon Slovis,
who has a 77.8% completion rate in the fourth quarter this season
with 5 TDs and no picks, and proved more of the same during a
winning comeback against Colorado last week. And speaking of
Helton, here’s THE CLINCHER: USC head coach Clay Helton is 9-2
SU and 8-2 ATS with revenge, including 4-0 SUATS versus foes
allowing 19.5 or more PPG. 

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