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The Conscience of Thoroughbred Racing


AUG 2, 2019—No matter how much early speed is signed on, a frontrunner always seems to win one of our favorite Saratoga stakes, the Test for 3-year-old fillies sprinting seven furlongs. But read on.

We don’t believe that any filly in America, at any age, has more early speed than Covfefe and can’t see her not having the lead if Joel Rosario is intent on seizing the front.

In her season’s debut, it might be that trainer Brad Cox left something in the tank as in her next start she returned to graded company and ran off the screen to win Pimlico’s G3 Miss Preakness quite impressively.

But it also was at 6-1/2 furlongs and although she won, Covfefe (5-2) appeared to be saved by the finish line coming up at just the right time. As to which observation holds the best clue for the Test is a tough read for us.

The competition is very classy as G1 Kentucky Oaks winning Serengeti Empress (7-2) and G1 Santa Anita Oaks winner Bellafina (2-1) will engage in an East v West division battle. The Test will decide which filly owns the fastest class.

And we haven’t even mentioned Chad Brown’s Royal Charlotte who might not have the kind of speed as the fillies indicated above but her next loss will be her first in five lifetime starts.

I don’t want any part of deciding among the aforementioned, preferring instead to throw deep with Trenchtown Cat (12-1). We can make a case.

In the last year or two, trainer Rohan Crichton has been a South Florida revelation. He moves horses up and they hold their form well, especially sprinters.

Last time out, Trenchtown Cat was a game second to the older, 7-furlong loving, Gulfstream horse for course Stormy Embrace. In fact, she met elders in her last two starts, something the competition has not done.

Those two races were on dirt after four grass races to begin her career.

Her stalking style suits today’s dynamics, she gets six pounds from both classy 7-furlong specialists, and reunites with Irad Ortiz, 2-for-2 astride the filly.

We’re betting Trenchtown Cat to win, likely somewhere in the 6-1 to 8-1 range, and boxing an exacta with Bellafina.

YESTERDAY: Casa Creed put it all together and got up; the first two horses very very good; Moon Colony was awful…

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3 Responses

  1. Can’t see Trenchtown Cat winning. Am at the mid-Atlantic tracks today (four tracks, Alice). Not betting, but Serengeti Empress fits in the Test.

    In the Whitney if I have any money left by post time I will send it in on Yoshida; tough horse who has run against the best (loves Saratoga, Alice). Due for best effort.

    1. Nice to see Baffert choked up after McKinsie romp. Push button winner, when they all came calling at top of stretch Mike said, ‘c-ya. These monster horses can make you cry they’re so good. Baffert said Saratoga was big time racing. He has that right. Yoshida was pretty special, too, passing everybody else in the stretch for fun.

  2. Agreed, this game and its athletes can really get to you. And to break your Whitney maiden on the day that Marylou is remembered added to the emotion I’m sure. McKinzie made a statement yesterday.

    …And it was good seeing that, at least on this occasion, Yoshida is back. He sure loves it upstate.

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