The Horse Race Insider is a privately owned magazine. All copyrights reserved. “Bet with your head, not over it.”

The Conscience of Thoroughbred Racing


AUG 2, 2019—No matter how much early speed is signed on, a frontrunner always seems to win one of our favorite Saratoga stakes, the Test for 3-year-old fillies sprinting seven furlongs. But read on.

We don’t believe that any filly in America, at any age, has more early speed than Covfefe and can’t see her not having the lead if Joel Rosario is intent on seizing the front.

In her season’s debut, it might be that trainer Brad Cox left something in the tank as in her next start she returned to graded company and ran off the screen to win Pimlico’s G3 Miss Preakness quite impressively.

But it also was at 6-1/2 furlongs and although she won, Covfefe (5-2) appeared to be saved by the finish line coming up at just the right time. As to which observation holds the best clue for the Test is a tough read for us.

The competition is very classy as G1 Kentucky Oaks winning Serengeti Empress (7-2) and G1 Santa Anita Oaks winner Bellafina (2-1) will engage in an East v West division battle. The Test will decide which filly owns the fastest class.

And we haven’t even mentioned Chad Brown’s Royal Charlotte who might not have the kind of speed as the fillies indicated above but her next loss will be her first in five lifetime starts.

I don’t want any part of deciding among the aforementioned, preferring instead to throw deep with Trenchtown Cat (12-1). We can make a case.

In the last year or two, trainer Rohan Crichton has been a South Florida revelation. He moves horses up and they hold their form well, especially sprinters.

Last time out, Trenchtown Cat was a game second to the older, 7-furlong loving, Gulfstream horse for course Stormy Embrace. In fact, she met elders in her last two starts, something the competition has not done.

Those two races were on dirt after four grass races to begin her career.

Her stalking style suits today’s dynamics, she gets six pounds from both classy 7-furlong specialists, and reunites with Irad Ortiz, 2-for-2 astride the filly.

We’re betting Trenchtown Cat to win, likely somewhere in the 6-1 to 8-1 range, and boxing an exacta with Bellafina.

YESTERDAY: Casa Creed put it all together and got up; the first two horses very very good; Moon Colony was awful…

Share on facebook
Facebook Share
Share on twitter
Twitter Share
Share on linkedin
LinkedIn Share
Share on email
Share on print

⚠ Before you comment

Our staff likes nothing better than to engage with the HRI Faithful and provide a forum for interaction on horseracing and sports. In that spirit, please be kind and reasonable; keep the language clean, and the tone civil. Comments from those who cannot comply will be deleted. Thank you.

15 Responses

  1. Can’t see Trenchtown Cat winning. Am at the mid-Atlantic tracks today (four tracks, Alice). Not betting, but Serengeti Empress fits in the Test.

    In the Whitney if I have any money left by post time I will send it in on Yoshida; tough horse who has run against the best (loves Saratoga, Alice). Due for best effort.

    1. Nice to see Baffert choked up after McKinsie romp. Push button winner, when they all came calling at top of stretch Mike said, ‘c-ya. These monster horses can make you cry they’re so good. Baffert said Saratoga was big time racing. He has that right. Yoshida was pretty special, too, passing everybody else in the stretch for fun.

  2. Agreed, this game and its athletes can really get to you. And to break your Whitney maiden on the day that Marylou is remembered added to the emotion I’m sure. McKinzie made a statement yesterday.

    …And it was good seeing that, at least on this occasion, Yoshida is back. He sure loves it upstate.

  3. I’m not that much of a online reader to be honest but your sites really nice, keep it up!

    I’ll go ahead and bookmark your website to come back later
    on. All the best

  4. Fantastic blog! Do you have any suggestions for aspiring writers?

    I’m planning to start my own site soon but I’m a little lost on everything.
    Would you propose starting with a free platform
    like WordPress or go for a paid option? There are so many choices out there that I’m completely overwhelmed ..
    Any ideas? Kudos!

  5. Its like you read my mind! You appear to know so much
    about this, like you wrote the book in it or something.
    I think that you can do with a few pics to drive
    the message home a bit, but other than that, this is wonderful blog.
    A great read. I will certainly be back.

  6. Good day I am so thrilled I found your weblog, I really found you by accident, while I was researching
    on Bing for something else, Regardless I am here now and would just
    like to say thanks for a marvelous post and a all round exciting
    blog (I also love the theme/design), I don’t have time to go through it all
    at the minute but I have bookmarked it and also added in your RSS feeds,
    so when I have time I will be back to read a lot more, Please do keep up the excellent work.

  7. Hmm it seems like your site ate my first comment (it was super long) so I guess I’ll just sum it
    up what I wrote and say, I’m thoroughly enjoying your
    blog. I as well am an aspiring blog writer but I’m still new to everything.
    Do you have any helpful hints for beginner blog writers?

    I’d certainly appreciate it.

  8. With havin so much content and articles doo you ever run into any problems of plagorism or copyright violation? My website hhas a lot of
    exclusive content I’ve either written myself or outsourced but it appears a lot of it is popping it upp alll
    over the internet without my permission. Do youu know any ways to help prevent content from being ripped off?
    I’dcertainly appreciate it.

    Visit my blog … 사설토토

  9. You are so cool! I do not think I’ve truly read through something
    like this before. So good to find someone with
    some original thoughts on this subject matter. Seriously..
    hank you for starting this up. This webste is one thing that is required on tthe web, someone wwith
    a bitt of originality!

    Feel free to surf to my blog; 파라오카지노

  10. I was curious if you ever considered changing the layout of your site?
    Its very well written; I love what youve got to say.

    But maybe you could a little more in the way of content so people could
    connect with it better. Youve got an awful lot of text for only having
    one or 2 images. Maybe you could space it out better?

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *