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BROWER: MED LATE PICK 4

By Dave Brower, Meadowlands Handicapper, Late Pick 4 Analysis, Friday, May 14, 2021

Race 11

1             LUCK N ROLL K – Elected to scratch out of his Tuesday spot over at Yonkers to race here instead. Comes off the big blowout win against the weaker Trackmaster class. This doesn’t look that much tougher. I think he can handle it.

2              P L LEEROY – Yes, that was a nightmare trip last time, so just forget about it. The prior blowouts were a little hard to believe, but he did do it twice. He’s sandwiched between the two top contenders, so trip potential is there.

3              SONIC FLARE – Had he not drawn post 10 last week, I probably would have made him a best bet. So, I didn’t have the guts! Oh well. He jogged. Like #1, he takes a perceived step up. But, he can probably handle it. No big price again. Trainer: Honest horse getting better each week since arriving. Expect an even better effort Friday.

4              ALWAYS’SYOURWAY – Barn’s got two in, and they’re both medium longshots. I kind of liked that debut here. It often takes a race to acclimate. Could be better here, but demand fair value if you fancy. This is no cakewalk either.

5              RUFO – Still looking at longshot status here. I like the post for his closing style, but will have to step it up a lot.

6              JUST WAVE GOODBYE – Hot property at the claim box lately, that’s for sure. “Sneaks” into this race via his Trackmaster rating, and as a non-winner in last three. That’s often a good angle! He should be nice price too!

7              GAIUS CRASTINUS – Drew post 10 last time to have no chance and this one might work out the same. I don’t see him blasting, and I don’t see him rallying enough. Still a longshot.

8              KINGOFTHEJUNGLE – 10YO is pretty good right now. Even from all these outside posts. James is going to have to send him again and hope for some sort of trip. Will probably work out for a share again.

9              BIG SWEEP OSBORNE – He’s been a real mixed bag of efforts lately. Not much love from the post gods lately, and it hurts! Almost every time. There’s plenty of other speed in here. Not likely to enjoy a smooth trip from this slot.

10           MR MCDREAMY – Another one suffering from the post position blues. It doesn’t get any worse than this.

DRIVER CHOICES:

Doug McNair 1 over 4

Andy McCarthy 5 over 10

Top Contenders  3-1-4-6

Race 12

1              RAPUNZLE BLUE CHIP – Sneaks into the race via her Trackmaster rating. But, I just can’t get past that no wins scenario over past two seasons. Gets the rail again and should be stalking up close. Can she come up with a bigger kick?

2              BREAK THE DEAL – Did a very good job of chasing a heavily-favored, well-meant winner. That should serve as the perfect acclimating mile. Dougie knows her now too! I like this spot for her. Just don’t expect to get rich at price.

3              ALWAYSABEACHDAY – Been buried way over her head in some very tough spots, so I won’t hold that against her. IF you can envision some sort of wakeup call, go ahead and use. Owned by Mr. Somebeachsomewhere, Macgrath!

4              ALWAYS A Z TAM – Found a nice, cozy soft spot down at Philly to pay some dividends for new barn. This is a big step up, and a switch to the big track. That might be asking a lot, but I’ve seen stranger things happen. Dave Miller on now.

5              JENNA WATCH – Keep in mind this is only her fourth lifetime start. I don’t know what happened here last time. Maybe she didn’t like the wind that night? I will be watching closely for future evaluation.

6              J ROCKIN B – Another one that sneaks in via Trackmaster rating. Basically refused to race on that hurricane night, so they made her qualify again. Went okay down at Freehold. Back to the wolves here. Is she good enough? Not sure.

7              MANHATTAN PLAY – No, I’m never putting her on top. But, Tetrick seems to get along with her and gets something out of her. Moves out to tougher post, which won’t help. She has blasted before. Why not take a shot?

8              KAITLYN N – Her last two really weren’t bad. Sat right behind the winner, and #2 last week and kept up. Drew same tough post, so Yannick might have to leave again. Why not? She won’t get much coming from the back.

9              P L NOTORIOUS – Hated to see that miscue last week. I really thought that was a nice comeback spot for her here at Club Med. But, I don’t know what happened. I know I can’t play her from this post. Good luck if you do.

DRIVER CHOICES: None

Top Contenders  2-1-8-3

Race 13

1              SOMEWHEREINAMERICA – Hasn’t hit the board yet in his career, so he’s a tough play upon return. I will pass.

2              DEERFIELD BEACH – He’s another one that just never wins. Usable underneath in some gimmicks, maybe, but that’s about it. Best asset here is the move back to inside post. Still needs to get very lucky.

3              SIR JAKE’S Z TAM – Hasn’t exactly been making waves here in this class. Needs some sort of repeat of that effort two back on the windy night. Those are hard to predict.

4              STELLA’S PHELLA – Stella threw in a little bit of a clunker last time. I don’t think he’s ever paced home in 31.4, so something was obviously wrong. That was the windy night. Maybe that had something to do with it. Bounces back?

5              ART SCAPING – They did get a win out of him down at Philly. This is only sixth lifetime start. Doug McNair will take a turn in sulky seat tonight, and let’s hope all his equipment stays in place. Maybe a chance at a share?

6              MAKE IT BIG – New barn hasn’t figured him out yet. Let’s watch for any additional equipment tinkering and see if he improves? I will be watching for more.

7              YS SUNSHINE – Added Lasix last time, but it doesn’t look like he improved all that much. Tough to like a lot in here.

8              MAY I CRUISE WEST – Can you believe he actually went off at 9/2 because Dexter was driving? He put him in the race too! But, this move outside looks like a killer. Will hope for some sort of hot pace, or mayhem to set up a rally.

9              STIRLING ENSIGN – With all the power on the outside in here, it makes handicapping that more complicated. That last break concerns me. I hate this post. Will have to send again, provided he IS pacing early. Very tough call.

10           TRICK CARD – Had the unfortunate DQ for going inside the cones last week. Overall, the effort wasn’t bad. But, can he do that again from post 10? AND save something more for late? That is a very good question.

DRIVER CHOICES:

Yannick Gingras 9 over 2

Mark MacDonald 10 over 1

Top Contenders  10-9-5-8

Race 14

1              SKYWAY KON MAN – IF there was ever a spot to find winner’s circle again, this is IT! He was ridiculously overbet two weeks ago on the windy night and clearly raced against the bias. No excuses from the pole position tonight.

2              SPLITSVILLE – 12YO warhorse finds his way over from Pocono off a break. At least he drew a good post. Should be able to sit somewhere close and try to launch a move. That’s a big maybe against the likes of #1.

3              MY BOY CHRISTIAN – I really don’t know where they’re at with this guy. Every start has been a little different. And lately, more bad ones than good ones. Sears chose not to “stick around,” and that’s a very bad sign. Tough call.

4              INNISFALLEN – I guess if anybody has a chance to beat #1, maybe it’s this one? It’s a big drop for him and he tends to “wake up” on drops like this. I will use underneath, but probably not on top. Will try to grind into this one.

5              MEMO – Memo drops for the fourth straight time, so one of these nights, he’s got to get it done. He did kind of pack it in last week, which worries me. Stamina the key ingredient on the mile track. I’d be surprised if he held off #1.

6              DOC’S SWAN SONG – Luke recently took over on Doc here and he did have a nice qualifier to start. I’ll assume he was buried in that “Open” type Rosecroft race. This should be a lot more like it. My concern is lack of early speed.

7              TRIXIE DUST – I guess we just have to wait for some sort of bounce-back effort from her. That last one upon return wasn’t very good. Drew outside. All the power is inside. That rarely works out too well.

8              CYCLONE MAXIMUS – Just not in great form and very hard to make a case for, from way out here. I will pass.

9              MARVELOUSTRIX – She might be coming from last, and I just don’t see that working out in this event. Not for me.

10           ALEXANDER HANOVER – He can leave a little, so don’t expect Dexter to just grab up and take back. Especially on the drop out of claimers. I will use him underneath in some gimmicks. Might even offer decent value.

DRIVER CHOICES:

Yannick Gingras 5 over 8

Top Contenders  1-10-4-6

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