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The Conscience of Thoroughbred Racing


From the SMART BOX in this week’s Playbook Football Newsletter: 2-0 college football teams that managed to beat the spread in each of their first two games have gone on to beat the spread only 46.8% of the time in Game Three. Worse, if they take to the road in this scenario, they are just 65-83 ATS in all games since 1980. Today finds North Carolina attempting to overcome tough odds going out on the highway with a 2-0 record. And when these teams are squared off against a fellow conference foe, they shrink to 20-34 ATS. Thought you’d like to know.


East Carolina: 1-16 SU and 3-14 ATS away since 2016 … Army: 1-9 $ as favorites of 13 or more points … UNLV: 8-1 $ vs. Big Ten opponents … Liberty: coach Freeze 10-1 $ vs. foes off a loss … Charlotte: 5-0 $ home with revenge … Auburn: 1-10 $ Game Three … Duke: 7-0 $ vs. non-con opponents … Northern Illinois: 11-2 $ vs. Big Ten.


While we’ve been helping stoke the flames under Willie Taggart’s fanny this season we can’t ignore the fact that Florida State is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games against Virginia – favored in all eighteen games. That makes them a DIA DIA (Dog In Action, Doing It Again) call today. With the Cavs 2-10 ATS as home chalk of 7 or fewer points, we lower the heat and grab the points hoping, of course, that we don’t get burned tonight.

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