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The Conscience of Thoroughbred Racing

TAMPA BAY TODAY – MAY 4

Wednesday’s featured sixth race begins the race week and Late Pick 4 and at first glance there was enough contention to perhaps taking a swing against the favorite, Morgan Point (6-5).

Dropping out of a state-bred sprint into a level in which he lost a head-bobber two back, we believe he had no discernable edge on which to take a short price.

Then I saw the weather forecast which promises a wet track. ‘Morgan’ won in the slop three back and looms a likely winner. But we’ll look at two, either of which will pay nicely.

Tap First (10-1) exploded in his first start off the Antonio Cordero claim, jumping up to win by nearly eight lengths, setting a solid pressured pace before drawing away. Previously, he was second at today’s trip. Yes, realize that those races came at the $16K maiden-claiming level.

The other interesting price shot is Liveforthesong (8-1), the longer of the Juan Arriagada uncoupled pair. We like the idea he has conditioning turning back from a two turner and owns the best late pace in the field, showing improved speed and kick after getting first Lasix. CHeck out Tampa Bay, MAR 4, Race 3.

We’ll lean on the latter in first start off the claim, a profitable 22% success rate for the barn, gets a positive rider switch and sire Tonalist gets 24% wet track winners.

Taking Liveforthesong to win at 6-1 or greater, and a three-horse exacta box with the two rivals named above.

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