By Marc Lawrence — David Purdum of ESPN interviewed a bettor from New Jersey who knew betting on the New York Jets would prove profitable. “I thought about the best way to bet on the Jets being bad,” said Brian Wood. He just needed to figure out a plan. According to Purdum, Wood considered betting on the Jets to go 0-16, a popular prop bet at sportsbooks, but instead found what he believed was a better option. He arranged a series of spot bets and because he had already padded his bankroll by betting against the Jets versus the Dolphins twice, he now had the Jets at 60-1 odds to beat the Raiders for their first win. To hedge his bet, he placed two money-line wagers totaling $7,185 on the heavily favored Raiders to win the game outright at -330. If Las Vegas won, he would win $1,459 from his money-line wagers, and the rest of his Jets’ first win bets would still be alive. If the Jets sprung the upset, he’d win $6,000 from his first-win bet, but lose the money he risked on the Raiders. When Derek Carr threw a last-gasp 46-yard TD pass to Henry Ruggs for a game-winning touchdown he was in position for a big score. He then had the Jets at 120-1 to upset the Rams and the rest is history. Read the rest of his story here..
ESPN reports potentially the greatest moment in the history of the Jacksonville Jaguars came on the same day they set a franchise record with their 14th consecutive loss after a 41-17 loss to the Chicago Bears yesterday. The loss, coupled with the New York Jets’ victory over the Cleveland Browns, means the Jaguars (1-14) have clinched the No. 1 pick in the 2021 NFL Draft which they all but certainly will use to select Clemson QB Trevor Lawrence. Let me go on record and say that there was never any “tanking for Trevor”. NFL athletes play to win games, not to “tank”. Unfortunately sportswriters paint a “tanking” mentality of the league’s worst teams, all of which the fans swallow up. Remember, the average NFL career lasts 3.3 years. There is no way in that short window that players even think about laying down and shortening their careers. And that’s the name of that story.
Grinding Out The Profits
From this week’s PLAYBOOK Totals Tipsheet Football Newsletter: The Patriots are 9-2 OVER at home on Monday Night and 9-2 OVER in the 2nd of 3 straight division games. On the flip side, the Bills are 6-1 OVER as road favorites of 3 or more points. Over and out.