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The Conscience of Thoroughbred Racing

MONMOUTH’S ALL-STAKES PICK 4 IN SPOTLIGHT NOW WITH BED O’ ROSES BONUS A-B-C’s FROM NY

HALLANDALE BEACH, JUNE 14, 2024 – It’s entirely appropriate that the national spotlight shifts to Monmouth Park immediately after New York’s monster weekend. New Jersey and New York have always been inexorably linked, and by more than just the George Washington Bridge.

And no one knows this better than horsemen of either gate. New York has Aqueduct and Belmont; New Jersey has The Meadowlands and Monmouth Park.

While New York has the overall class edge in the Thoroughbred sport, their fans and bettors love nothing more than a day at The Shore. Afterwards, perhaps a visit to Max’s, after that maybe the Stone Pony, too. Ask Bob Baffert about the lucky hot dogs next time you see him.

Speaking of which, Saturday is Haskell Preview Day featuring four stakes that comprise an All Stakes Pick 4 commencing with Race 9, the Grade 3 Eatontown.  To underscore the point above, seven classy New York outfits are paying the toll to play at Monmouth Park tomorrow under projected fair skies.

We’ll be back with A-B-C grades for all four stakes — and maybe Belmont’s G2 Bed o’ Roses as well.

MONMOUTH PARK

G3 EATONTOWN                                                                       Race 9

A:  6-Spirit and Glory (5-2) versatile, likes this course (9) 3-1-1, turf ace Jersey Joe.  1-Sacred Wish (3-1) G1 winner handles turf well, Weaver 18% at MTH, 4F breeze 36th of 288 peers week of JUN 8.   9-Maman Joon (6-1) much improved at 4 for Chad, 2-for-2 this trip, exists key race, excellent value on early line.

B: 7-Tax Implications (7-2) Chad 28% LAY-3 scenarios, potential key race, one winner-one starter, switch to Prat.  4-No Show Sammy Jo (6-1) moved forward in 4YO debut, big kick overcoming slow pace.

C: 10-Tic Tic Tic Boom (30-1)barn profitable 28% with its second time runners, exits same potential key as ‘Tax’. 2-EmbraceMe (30-1) both dam’s get two wins on turf, well drawn, switch to Javier.

PEGASUS STAKES                                                          Race 10

A:  8-Sea Streak (7-2) moved forward significantly winning the Long Branch, Owens has won 2 of his last and7-for-8 in recent months hooking up with Rendon, should offer value.  5-Hades (7-2) G3 Holy Bull winner, freshened, working strongly, reunites with Paco.  1-Tuscan Sky (5-2) freshened since rough-trip Wood, adds blinkers and Javier from pole.  7-Domestic Product (3-1) big kicker working purposeful since Derby, Chad switching to Prat.

B:  None

C:  6-Uncle Heavy (12-1) G3 Withers winners blew out half in 48.80, 5th fastest of 43 peers working week of JUN 8.  4-Willy D’s  (15-1) exploded in DEL allowances last out.  3-Otello (9-2) drops from graded company.   

G3 MONMOUTH STAKES                                          Race 11

A:  9-Running Bee (4-1) (10) 4-3-1 lifetime, seeks first graded score, owns tactical speed and kick, (3) 1-0-1 at trip.  5-Seige of Boston (7-2) drops from Grade 1 to proper level, Toner profitable 23% in LAY-2 scenario, Fair Hill breeze 2nd fastest of 26 peers working well of JUN 8.  8-Tawny Port (5-1) consistently competitive at higher grades, progressive, and attracts Rendon, lifetime profitable with pace types.

B:  6-Adhamo (5-1) G1 United Nations winner at 11 furlongs here, freshened since key (3-for-11) Muniz.

C:  2-Beatbox (6-1) G3 winner needed his last (soft ground), DeVaux profitable 3-for-8 here.

G3 SALVATOR MILE                                               Race 12

A:  2-Bright Future (1-1)  Grade 1 winner in training since April, most recent blowout 11 fastest of 288 peers working week of JUN 8, (4) 2-0-2 at trip, 2-for-2 beneath Castellano.

B:  8-Coastal Mission (10-1) competitive figures, six most recent wins beneath Bocachica, bullet blowout at CT base.  1-Sherlock’s Jewel (8-1) much improved at 4, 2-for-2 at trip, stabled here since May, latest blowout 15th of 130 peers working the week of JUL 9, both recent wins with Cheminaud.

C:  4-Shirl’s Speight (8-1) dropping from four straight Grade 1s, JUN 9 WO blowout fastest of 89 peers working the week of JUN 9.

AQUEDUCT                                                                   Race 10

G2 BED O’ ROSES

A:  3Accede (6-1) showed class winning 4YO debut for Chad, third in Grade 2 lone start at trip 2023,  6-Flying Connection (3-1)exits key race [2-for-2], progressive competitive figure last out, first-time Atras.    4-Mornng Matcha (12-1) won last three starts going 7 furlongs, Reid has much success shipping to NY

B:  8-Shidabhuti (6-1) “other” Chad is Horse for Course (5) 3-0-2, turnback suits

C:  9-Leave No Trace (6-1) very promising at 2, Horse for Course  (3) 2-0-1, Horse for Distance (4) 3-1-0    7-Hot Fudge (10-1) Horse for Course (9) 6-0-2 and Distance (4) 3-0-0

when more than one horse is listed in any category, preferences appears in graded order

this live column will be upgraded throughout the weekend

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10 Responses

  1. Happy Father’s Day , good dad’s ! Did not play Monmouth as I’m involved in my second bad losing streak of the past three- four years but not on actuarial, numerical way that I check the $ board or the Past Performances, but on what I call ” Nonno’ s system” based on a suggested angle offered to me by a long time bettor, which was then later ‘ adjusted’ by me, giving me good payoffs, usually just exactas. 24 is a long streak and, thankfully, it goes up by $4 at a time. Not panic involved since it usually pays over $40,just patience and in days like these, Sunday, betting early in those races is possible since I won’t be playing anything else , thanks to the Dallas Mavs and Edmonton Oilers. Hey, sometimes cannot just bet horse races, especially since some of us are almost running out of patience for the Saratoga opening and hoping for another successful season as in 2023,my best one yet. Cannot get excited about CD or Monmouth. I ve tried. They just ‘ ain’t ‘ for me ! Like Nonno, my godfather, used to say” It’s like oil and water” ! Tiramisu anyone ?? 😁🐴

    1. Part 2: One of the worst situations happened yesterday,Sunday,June 16,Fathers Day.While riding on a spot betting losing streak of over 20 races,I bet early because of family duties,which usually come in before betting.Normal,no ? Ok,on the first race one unexpected thing happens, one of the two exact box horses is scratched. I was too busy eating,drinking with my people to worry about that.When I checked the mid races results I notice that the Other horse won but my ticket of over $ 100 was a scratched . In a normal active day I would have vet the remaining horse to Win ,or Win-Place.So,the question is,Where does one start from that race? Consider it a win,half of a win or a loss,as far as the streak is concerned ?? Needless to add that the following races did not have a cold exacta for that Angle…hitting a couple of winners but zilch for the gimmick.Now What for the next bet in a few days from now. My $$ balance is well over $5500 in profits since May while my streak has to be considered ,partly,a wash because of that missed bet to Win- Place which would have put the $$ on an almost even level…Hmnn…still thinking about it as I sip some Peach Wine,not the flavored kind but Real ripe slices of peaches on a tall glass of Cabernet..Has this,betting,not Wine,situation happened to you ??

      1. No one needs to explain “streaks” to me — it happens with both betting and public handicapping.. I’m very streaky. Patience while riding them out.

        And, yes, family first!

      2. Because of the losing streak with the Sole winner in one race, i’m giving it some $ reward by eliminating four losing races and starting at Minus 22 and starting with a $ 82 exacta box bet ,,,Of course ,the first race starts with a Steeplechase which i usually skip but in this case i cannot do it and HAVE to bet it since IT FITS! There are Six other races to be bet today ,Thursday ,and ,Hopefully, one of them might be hit . Patience and $ Management : Increased the bets by 10 % of the previous losing bet: $90 losing bet gets replaced by another $ 98 one. Of course, it sounds logical, as long as the combo comes in. Nice Summer breeze ! Due $$ ? No ,just going with what i have been happy with. Nothing like winning $,or losing it, as the guy in the old NYRA commercial used to say: Enjoy losing my money ,my way [ with a Nathan’s hot dog in hand] ! Happy, Healthy Summer !

    2. Understood on many levels JG. Patience in all things is important, especially wagering on horses these days. One need not play tracks other than the ones they have a good read on.

      The idea of featuring Monmouth Saturday was Haskell Preview Day provided clues to what’s coming. Certainly, for instance,Bright Future appears to have won at 4, getting back to his promising juvenile form of 2022.

      Besides, it was the only program, IMO, to feature this past Saturday.

      And, BTW, threw in a NYRA bonus play and Accede, our #1 ‘A’ horse, won the Bed O’ Roses nd paid 4-1.

  2. Excellent handicapping by you at both Monmouth and the Big A on Saturday, John. It was a great day of racing with two dead heats at the Shore to liven things up.

    1. Thanks for the props, Les!

      Yes, things worked out nicely. My favorite go-to on this is “the harder I work, the luckier I get”

  3. As one rare patron who would inject oxygen into your comatose corner, you delete me off even before i got the chance to copy it ? It reminds of what CNN did to that Trump PR woman LEADING the NY Post headlines,AMONG MANY OTHER LEFTWING OCCASIONS ! Have it your way since the [ DEFLATED] ball is in your hands. YOU AINT WORTH MY TIME ! Good bye !

    1. I give you a lot of space and I wasn’t sure what you were talking about. Now I know.

      See ya’

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