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The Conscience of Thoroughbred Racing

LAUREL PARK LIVE-SUN

Sunday’s Laurel feature is scheduled for the turf turf but with “rain likely” in the forecast, it’s 50-50 as we post as to whether it will remain on grass or be rescheduled. We’ll try to cover all contingencies:

Hibiscus Punch (5-1) will be good on whatever surface is beneath her. Whether it will be good enough is the gamble, and at early line odds or thereabouts, we’re willing to gamble. And the price should hold, especially coming off a 344 day layup.

But that’s trainer Justin Nixon’s game, as he’s 22% efficient and profitable with all layups of 90+ days. Further, the filly comes into this off a bullet work at Laurel, even though her prior starts were at Woodbine, where Nixon has taken over her training.

Her figures as a youngster were as fast as anyone, so there’s upside there. Woodbine synthetic handles dirt switches and, since she’s by Into Mischief, dirt, wet or dry, should not be an issue, and she was a good third on turf debut. Outside position helps as does the presence of Daniel Centeno.

Taking Hibiscus Punch to win at 4-1 or greater.

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Iroquois Stakes [OCT. 24 BELMONT PARK]

PROJECTED WINNER: Prairie Fire (8-1) 2nd at 12.80-1

VALUE BET: Prairie Fire to win at 6-1 or greater

EXOTICA: Exacta key-box Prairie Fire with newly Minted (5-2), Officer Hutchy (6-1)[finished fourth] and Collegeville Girl (15-1) [won at 23-1]…

Dime Super Key Prairie Fire first and second with exacta horses, using them plus Spin A Yarn (8-1) and Timely Tradition [finished 3rd] (5-1) third and fourth.

Empire Classic

PROJECTED WINNER: Mr. Buff (5-2) [won at 7-2]

VALUE BET: Mr. Buff to win at 2-1 or greater

EXOTICA: Exacta and Trifecta box Mr. Buff, Funny Guy (2-1) and Evaluator (10-1)”

Iroquois Results: [OCT. 24, 2020]

$1 Exacta: $207.00

50-Cent Trifecta: $980.00

Dime Super: $2,081.95

[OCT. 31] Zagora Value Bet: Luck Money [won $17.80], Awad Value Bet: Kidnapped [unplaced], Bold Ruler Value Bet Exacta: [scratch]

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NOTE: Starting with BREEDERS’ CUP, and for every MAJOR EVENT DAY thereafter (e.g. NYRA Mile Day, Pegasus Stakes Day, etc.) Value Bets and Exotic Plays will only be made available for purchase and priced accordingly.

Breeders’ Cup Friday is priced at $10; Breeders’ Cup Saturday is $20; Breeders’ Cup 2-day package is $25 complete, via PayPal. Deadline for payment is 9 AM Thursday, NOV 5: Remit to [email protected]

Taking advantage of latest information and conditions from Breeders’ Cup Ltd. and Keeneland Race Course, products will be e-mailed by 9AM on day of each event.

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