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The Conscience of Thoroughbred Racing

TAMPA BAY TODAY – JAN 19

Handicappers might be tempted to beat also-eligible Commence (2-1) should he draw into this turf two-turner, the day’s third of the day, but not us, We try not to go out of our way to beat “house horses” from hot barns.

Owned by Stella Thayer, this horse made an exceptional late move, a bit too late, racing in spots, not unusual for first-time starters especially on grass. The winner he galloped out in front of was an even-money Chad Brown trainee.

Consider, too, that Arnaud Delacour is 31% efficient with second-time starters and is batting 32% at this meet. Further, Daniel Centeno is a profitable 38% for the barn this meet. The post is tough but the added sixteenth compensates. His Thoro-Graph figure looms slightly best on show.

The field is interesting and vertical value is a distinct possibility. Andthethunderrolls (10-1) and Sinatra Devil (15-1) both exit key races and second-time Graham Motion starter Fused (7-2) gets a switch to Pablo Morales, a positive angle.

Our exacta key with the favorite will be Quid (8-1), who is taking a confident rise from the maiden claiming ranks and when you review his debut run you will see why trainer Derek Ryan wants to try this level.

Click on the Tampa Bay Downs Video link on the HRI homepage which will lead to their replay center. The race you want to review is from DEC 11, RACE 9.

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