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The Conscience of Thoroughbred Racing

IT’S ALL A NUMBERS GAME

NFL Monday Night Football Fast Facts: Saints: 0-5 SUATS season openers, and 1-4 $ on Mondays … Broncos: 7-1 SU and 5-1-2 $ season openers, Raiders: 1-6 $ first division game of season….

Before each season, ESPN simulates the entire NFL slate 20,000 times using the ESPN Football Power Index (FPI), it’s prediction and projection system. In the preseason, it is based on a few factors, including each team’s preseason win total matched with its schedule, past performance in all three phases of the game, returning starters and who the starting and backup quarterbacks are expected to be. Altogether that gets a strength rating for every team, which in turn uses to determine game predictions and the likelihood of one team beating another. Thursday night Bears-Packers game predicted a Green Bay upset. To read the entire 2019 NFL season-long game-by-game predictive analysis click here.

Right On Cue

Deadspin.com was spot-on when they inferred, if this all feels like a remake of Randy Moss’s move to New England over a decade ago… it should. Antonio Brown is suddenly in a much better place. Instead of plugging away on a bad team with a rocky future, he’ll catch passes from possibly the greatest QB of all time while playing for the closest thing to a playoff lock there is in the NFL. Maybe this was his plan all along? Self-centered Brown made suckers of the Raiders when he jumped ship to join the Patriots, sewing up New England’s spot on Mount Rushmore’s most despised sports franchises. Mark it down: the Pats will be so popular and overpriced with fans at the betting window they will lose all value and become money burners by season’s end. Here’s hoping Brown will change the name on the back of his uniform to “He Hate Me” – which would appropiate the feeling of the majority of NFL fans nationwide right about now. And shame on New England for allowing this egocentric behavior to continue. Somehow I’m having trouble grasping Ghandi’s words when he said, “Hate the sin, love the sinner.”
 
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