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TAMPA BAY TODAY – NOV 26

The Saturday feature in Oldsmar is a good one, a preliminary allowances for fillies and mares 3 & up going 1-1/16 miles on the Tampa lawn.

The race has drawn a representative field of 10 and two have caught the eye: the Michael Dini-trained Anador (2-1) and William Downing’s Memphis Showboat (9-2).

The former is a deserving favorite and looms the most probable of the 10 off her narrow defeat at Aqueduct last out [OCT 20, Race 9], chasing the pace outside all the way, taking the stretch lead but nailed on the line, improving her Thoro-Graph figure in first start for a new barn.

But Memphis Showboat is the better value, especially if the early line quote holds. This 5-year-old mare responded to the class drop with a good placing at Delaware Park after moving prematurely to the lead and understandably tiring late.

In her prior, she was beaten three lengths by a tough allowance group than she meets here, a key event from which the first two finishers came back to win.

With not a lot of speed signed on, Memphis Showboat should land in a good spot from which to rally given her rail position and Jesus Castanon will know how to do this. See what you think of her wide allowance run two back [DELAWARE PARK, AUG 13, Race 7].

Gambling that she’s well spotted here, betting Memphis Showboat to win at no lower than early line odds, plus an exacta box with the worthy favorite.

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