I’m not a charter member of the Beat The Favorite Club but over time, with sage counsel from a late dear friend, I learned that it is about price, not about horse. And that’s the way to bet.
But for public handicappers, it’s a delicate balance and not all favorites are easily beaten 24 or more hours prior to post.
Anyone around the game longer than 15 minutes will tell you that you can’t force bets; take what your given.
Given that disclaimer, both the past performances and video replays make a compelling case against the featured fourth race favorite, class dropping Three Hawk (9-5); You Made It (4-1) can make your day.
The feature is an NX1 open allowances at the hybrid distance of 6-1/2 furlongs. The favorite was a good third in the Maryland-bred Politely Stakes last out at 6 furlongs but has no experience at today’s trip.
You Made It does, winning her last at this trip after pressing a strong pace throughout, was attacked soon after entering the stretch by the prefect-trip 4-5 favorite, Bunting, and repelled her, staying on very well at the line.
Since claimed in July by Kieron Magee, You Made It (4-1) placed then won her next three starts leading up to this and doesn’t need the lead to get it done. Live apprentice Avery Whisman is taking a return call here.
But don’t take my word for You Made It’s last win. Click on the Laurel Live Video on the HRI homepage JAN 1, RACE 6, and JUDGE for yourself. I’d take as low as 2-1 straight. Further, key-boxING exactas with the favorite and the fast Not Leaving (6-1), from the profitable ship-in barn of Ed Coletti Jr.