Kansas State over Mississippi State by 6—Mississippi State has clicked off wins over a pair of Deep South competitors in UL-Lafayette and Southern Miss.
Upon close inspection, the Bulldogs only have a 54-yards per game edge and
have split a pair against the spread by having a +6 turnover edge.
Mississippi State has their SEC lid-lifter with Kentucky next week in
a revenge situation and is 5-10 ATS as home favorites before the
Wildcats, and a mere 1-4 ATS in the middle matchup of three straight
home games where the cowbells never cease.
Regular starting MSU quarterback Tommy Stevens injured his shoulder last week and backup QB Garrett Shrader completed seven of his 11 passes and
might have to go (check Stevens’ status).
Kansas State has routed two cupcakes at home under first-year head coach Chris Klieman, the former head honcho at North Dakota State where his troops captured three FCS titles over the past five seasons.
We think the Wildcats are an interesting road play under Klieman, who owns a .920 win percentage since 2015, tops among all FBS and FCS coaches.
K-State is also 4-1 ATS as a non-conference road underdog and 40-22
ATS off a home blowout win by 28 points or more.
In addition, the Wildcats are 10-2 ATS after outrushing opponents by 150 or more yards in two straight games.