Win today and build for tomorrow. Racetracks, ADWs? Feel free to adopt this tagline, it’s been a personal mantra for years.
On occasion, some of us have been desperate enough to substitute the word build with survive. Actually did that for a while, the first year I was married, 1969. It’s not for everybody.
But that’s why we always suggest wagers come in the smallest units possible; R-E-S-P-E-C-T the bankroll. Dollars are a means to an end for gamblers, liquidity the difference between life and death, hopefully figuratively.
Three tracks on the wagering radar today, with short trips to the shore, the bluegrass, but mostly Long Island, the base of today’s Breeders’ Cup ‘win-and-in’ headquarters.
Readers and fans often ask how do I bet these? First, as it was once said by NYC-OTB, and the bettor’s buy-word: Bet with your head, not over it.
Second, if the horse you bet to win succeeds, it should–at the very least–cover multiple pool losses; no excuses.
The point of exotics for us is most often a substitute for place and show wagers. At over 10-1 ante post, however, viability-of- favorites-dependent, I will go WP, WPS or WS.
Case in point: Had a Horse to Watch at Belmont yesterday off at 23-1; I bet WPS. After a virtually impossible wide trip on grass, managed to finish third, paying $7.70 show. Stuff happens.
Grade 1 Champagne [Race 4]
MOST PROBABLE WINNER: Jackie’s Warrior (3-5)
THE BET: Reinvestment Risk(8-5) to win
EXOTICA: Exacta box Jackie’s Warrior and Reinvestment Risk; Trifecta wheel of these two with Midnight Bourbon (6-1) second and third. Double wheel Reinvestment Risk with Vequist and Dayoutoftheoffice.
GRADE 1 Frizette
MOST PROBABLE WINNER: Vequist (2-1)
THE BET: Vequist to win (if not alive) and exacta box with Dayoutoftheoffice (3-1)
EXOTICA: Exacta and Trifecta wheel, both fillies first and second with Cantata second and third.
Grade 1 Flower Bowl
MOST PROBABLE WINNER: Cambier Parc (5-2)
THE BET: Civil Union (3-1) at early line odds or greater
EXOTICA: Three-horse exacta box ‘Cambier’, ‘Civil’ and La Signare (8-1). Trifecta wheel using exacta fillies in all positions with Nay Lady Nay (7-2) third only.
Grade 1 Jockey Club Gold Cup
MOST PROBABLE WINNER: Tacitus (1-1)
THE BET: Exacta key-box Tacitus with Happy Saver (3-1) and Mystic Guide (4-1)
EXOTICA: Trifecta wheel Tacitus over both three-year-olds second and third, adding Name Changer (20-1) third only.
G2 Sands Point
MOST PROBABLE WINNER: Selflessly (2-1)
THE BET: Miss J McKay (7-2) to win at 3-1 or greater
EXOTICA: Exacta key-box Miss J McKay with Selflessly and Tamahere (5-2) Trifecta wheel Miss J McKay with exacta fillies second and third, adding Giacosa (15-1)third only.
G3 Monmouth Stakes
MOST PROBABLE WINNER: Almanaar (8-5)
THE BET: Serve the King (7-2) to win at 3-1 or greater.
EXOTICA: Exacta key-box Serve the King with Mr. Alec (5-2) and Almanaar. Trifecta key-wheel Serve the King first and second with both exacta horses and Megacity (10-1) third only.
KEENELAND RACE COURSE
MOST PROBABLE WINNER: Mr. Freeze (3-1)
THE BET: Mr. Freeze to win at 5-2 or greater [saver win wager Title Ready (10-1) at 8-1 or greater]
EXOTICA: Three-horse exacta box Mr. Freeze, Title Ready and Coastal Defense (6-1). Dime Super wheel the three exacta horses first and second, adding Aurelius Maximus (10-1), Captivating Moon (5-1) and Crafty Daddy (5-1) third and fourth.
Grade 1 Queen Elizabeth II Coronation Cup
MOST PROBABLE WINNER: Magic Attitude (5-2)
THE BET: Harvey’s Lil Goil (3-1) to win at 5-2 or greater
EXOTICA: Exacta key-box Harvey’s Lil Goil with Sweet Melania (7-2), Magic Attitude and Micheline (6-1). Dime Super wheel keying Harvey’s Lil Goil first and second with the three exacta free citation generator horses, adding Hendy Woods (10-1) and Red Lark (10-1) third and fourth.