The legendary Harvey Pack espoused several betting philosophies; most fans are aware of his dictum, never bet a horse that is trying something new for the first time, as the favorite.
Not are we only going to flip the script, substituting a trainer of the the early line favorite for the horse but also making a double switch here, but taking the trainer favorite who doesn’t done something before–lose a race at the present meet.
That trainer, Mike Michael, has entered Chess’s Dream; the early line 3-1 favorite in today’s fifth race, one of three turf races schedule for the rejuvenated lawn in Hallandale, making its debut today.
Thankfully, the horse has merit, too. Jess’s Dream likes it here, as his turf slate of (5) 2-2-1 will attest–those two wins at today’s trip and goes for a trainer who is 3-for-3 at the present stand.
This will be the 4-year-old’s first time vs. Florida-bred claimers and Maker taps Samy Camacho, a 27% team showing a strong profit over a representative sample.
And as for his most recent start, it’s an easy throw out, given his wide trip after breaking from the 11 slip in a two-turn turfer with its short run on the Big A lawn.
The bad line may keep the price square. We’re taking the back-classy Chess’s Dream at 5-2 or greater and key-boxing exactas with the forward-looking recent maiden breaker Tiz a Gent (6-1) and well spotted Saffie Joseph trainee, Uncle Armando (7-2)