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The Conscience of Thoroughbred Racing

WHOSE HOT IN HOT SPRINGS

The first upset of the day? A Saturday with sunshine and the promise of a fast track. One more next weekend would be nice, too.

Here’s a Late Pick 4 sequence, if we were to do it Caveman Style:

RACE 8: 4 (7-2), 6 (10-1), 9 (4-1), AE-13 (9-2)

RACE 9: 4 (6-1), 7 (5-2), 9 (3-1)

RACE 10: 1 (8-5), 6 (4-1), 8 (9-2)

RACE 11: 1 (7-2), 4 (5-2), 12 (12-1)

3 x 3 x 3 x 3 = $40.50

Here’s one, Economy Style:

4, 9, AE 13 // 7, 9 // 1, 6, 8 // 4 = $9 [$6, if no AE]

Eighth: Don’t particularly care for Sneaking Out all that much but has been in steady training since JAN 19: a dozen works in all, including five bullets. This is what a Hollendorfer full court press looks like.

Really prefer Bye Bye J but would have been a lot more confident had he beaten rivals other than ARK-breds recently, but he’s forward looking.

Ilchester Cheetah has taken a circuitous route–from West Virginia to New York to Arkansas but this filly loves the game (5-for-9) and barn on a hot recent roll. On Deck jumped up bigly off the claim at GP and is 2-for-2 at the trip; might be this good right now, why knows?

Ninth: Eight Rings is the obvious class and nine works in preparation for three-year-old debut including four signature works from Bullet Bob; first time Rosario. Long Weekend won OP debut by nearly five on the engine and scampering home in 24-flat. Could speed-pop from outside slip and Famous Amoss is 27% in LAY-3 scenarios.

Tenth: The obvious class and uber fast, Bellafina draws the pole and hasn’t been three-quarters in a long time, plus the pole forces her hand. Simon Callahan shipping in to blow her out over the track shows intent.

Amy’s Challenge was in subtle jackpots all the way around in the Spring Fever and is sure to benefit, may provide excellent value at better than 4-1. Mia Mischief, a Filly for Course and Trip, overcame tough trip to win recent prep for this in her five year old debut. Love the spacing but gives Bellafina five pounds; wazzup with that?

Eleventh: Would feel a lot better if big-figure maiden placing came at today’s trip and not 1-1/8 miles but Unrighteous was not disgraced at all while embarrassingly wide in G2 Tampa Derby.

Supposed to handle maidens with Joel aloft and Todd blew him out a half-mile over the track, a bit unusual for this barn. Battle for the minors is headed by Copper King, but Tiz the Journey would be the ticket-maker.

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