Using a no guts-no glory approach to wagering here and will probably regret it, but I will pay to find out. We’re bucking a private purchase coming off a devastating 6-1/2 length win in very fast time.
White Abarrio (4-5) not only was brilliant but also professional on debut, bursting through between rivals at the turn before drawing out stylishly late.
Take a look at that race and you’ll probably agree we’re wishing thinking: Gulfstream Park, SEP 24, Race 4. And then consider that Saffie Joseph Jr. is 26% effective with new acquisitions. But we’ll opt for more race experience and familiarity with the one mile trip.
And Strike Hard (5-2) is so slouch, breaking maiden with a bigger figure than the favorite two starts back at today’s distance, an effort so good trainer Matthew Williams shipped to Churchill Downs and tried Grade 3 company going two turns for the first time.
Finishing seventh, note that he raced three wide on the first turn and five wide on the far turn, beaten a respectable 6-1/4 lengths. Since that effort, he’s worked thrice–very strong moves–and perhaps he has learned his lessons: He’s never switched to his correct right lead in all three starts.
Maybe regular rider Leonel Reyes can get him to do the right thing in his fourth outing.
Taking Strike Hard to win at 5-2 or greater, a quinella with the favorite, and a small trifecta wheel using those two in all three positions and adding forward-looking price shot God Is Love (8-1) in second and third slots.