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The Conscience of Thoroughbred Racing


…Or you take it one race at a time instead, Multiple pool horizontal wagering is not for everyone, even at 20-Cents per ducat, but understand there could be somewhere approaching $7 million in the pool by the time betting closes prior to Saturday’s seventh race at Gulfstream Park. Here’s the skinny on the Rainbow 6 races:

RACE 7: With weather handicappers projecting sunny skies, this run for 3-year-old fillies will go at 5 furlongs on the turf and FAST SCENE (3-1) is very well named, She’s fresh, working bullets and has won two listed stakes and looms the most probable winner. AFFICIONADO (4-1), another fast worker, makes her U S. debut for Patrick Biancone. She faced Group 3 company at 2 in France; the wildcard. FOOLISH HUMOR (7-2) will be a must inclusion, making her season’s debut for Wesley Ward. ENVIED (6-1) and COMPENSATE (5-1) are also viable and might offer great value.

RACE 8: If early line favorite LOUIE’S KINGDOM (7-5) doesn’t get it done vs. $16,000 claimers sprinting 6 furlongs, many “singles” will be blown up. Larry Rivelli re-claim has the claiming tag cut in half and adds Irad Ortiz Jr. He won his only start at today’s trip. After that RESERVENOTATTAINED (8-1) will make himself known right from the jump, making his second start off a very long layup and going from turf to dirt. Michael Yates, enjoying a profitable 2020, adds blinkers and reaches out for Luis Saez. ROAD TO PEACE (6-1), with blinkers back on, makes his first start at a reduced level since maiden score three starts back. Turning back off a turf route, trainer Nick Mastronardi is profitable going turf to dirt.

RACE 9, SUNSHINE FOREVER STAKES: [SAT AM UPDATE: CASSE INTENDS TO SCRATCH]. Given the circumstances, the dynamics, and the extreme outside draw, War of Will’s worth trying to beat to win in this bridge race to bigger and better things. He should be used; or not… There are too many ways to go–five, including a gaggle of graded stakes winners or placed runners. Todd Pletcher has a strong uncoupled entry in SOCIAL PARANOIA (3-1) and HALLADAY (4-1). Both are very nicely developing 4-year-olds and both are 2-for-2 on the GP lawn. Grade 1 winner EL TORMENTA (12-1) is much better than season’s debut, an impossible trip for a speed horse going a mile from 12 post on this course. Benefits, moves inside, picks up Dylan Davis and could trip-out. AQUAPHOBIA (10-1) has improved in two starts since claim by turf ace Mike Maker and attracts Irad. And, yes, HIGHLAND SKY (15-1) always leaves himself too much to do, but gelded 7-year-old is training up a storm. Barclay can get one ready and a hot pace at today’s trip could help big time. [Owing to two late scratches, ADMISSION OFFICE, coming off a fast race, is less post-compromised and rates inclusion in analysis.

RACE 10: BATTLE OF BLENHEIM (2-1), a three-time course winner and (7) 2-2-0 at the trip, is a potential single. He’s won twice beating better off the Maker claim, now returns to that level following recent game placing after battling on the pace throughout; back to win partner Irad. BASHA (20-1) had a troubled start from a wide post in last, was allowed to dawdle thereafter, and lost any chance attempting to rally while very wide. If set for best in season’s debut for a new East Coast barn, HARBOUR MASTER (12-1) gets class relief and has the proper style if pace becomes very hot, a possibility here. Turf ace Bravo a good fit. HONEY WON’T (4-1), second off the layup, is suited by level, likes the course, and gets Saez; shipping money? SHOOTIN THE BREEZE (8-1) is also LAY-2, meets weaker, and couldn’t have better connections.

RACE 11: Full field of Florida-breds sprinting 6 furlongs is topped by R MERCEDES BOY (4-1) who is suited by projected strong pace and ran into hot prospect which he tried in vain to run down making season’s debut. Benefits, Jaramillo re-rides, and Baxter 23% efficient in LAY-2 scenarios. HAUNTEDBYTHEMUSIC (6-1) may be overbet but showed freaky dimension as blowout winner on debut at Tampa, earning excellent Thoro-Graph figure; plenty of recovery time, staying sharp at training center and gets Irad for local debut; son of The Big Beast could be anything. I’LL FIGHT DEMPSEY (4-1) was a fast, impressive winner on debut then was pressed hard throughout was raised in class and distance; Saez sticks and bullets spell rebound? TAP IT TO WIN (5-1) makes season’s debut in proper spot after working bullets at Chez Casse in Ocala.

RACE 12: Another difficult puzzle and unfortunately the finale is tougher than most of the spots in this very difficult sequence. Having said that, PEPPI THE HUNTER (9-5) is a most probable winner. Hard-hitting older gelding was claimed from his last three and continues to run well. Very sharp 5 furlongs for this last weekend. TRAPPEZOID (5-1) had win streak snapped, undone by wide trip last out vs. arguably tougher set. Very live connections, Zayas re-rides and a hot pace would be huge help. finished third as the favorite versus same kind last time but is very effective at a one-turn mile. THE QUEENS JULES (4-1) repeats winning turf to dirt pattern. THE ROBERT (12-1) rallied after the fact in Parx finale and live barn taps Rosario. STARSHIP APOLLO (8-1) is very honest and sharp sprinter-type stretches out to one mile with favorable wide draw and Saez.

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