Minnesota over Indianapolis by 13
The Colts tallied 445 yards of offense and did not punt in an eyeopening loss at Jacksonville in QB Philip Rivers’ debut with the Horseshoes.
The loss of RB Marlon Mack for the season to a torn Achilles is not good news for Rivers today, as his arm will likely look a lot like a strand of linguine by season’s end at this pace.
And it certainly doesn’t help knowing the Horseshoes are 1-8 ATS during the first four games of the season when coming off a SU favorite loss and meeting an opponent coming off a loss.
In addition, Indy’s puny 10-15 ATS log in home openers will certainly be put to the test today. Meanwhile, Minnesota rallied late in the loss against Green Bay last week, scoring 24 fourth-quarter points.
The real question is: did they lose, or just run out of time? Minny’s 5-1 ATS record in its last six games against teams from the AFC South sets the table.
New England over Seattle by 7
After last week’s walkover win against Atlanta, NFL.com said, “If this is the new normal for the Seahawks, the league is in trouble.”
It all started when Russell Wilson completed 14 of 15 passes by halftime, including his fi rst 12 in a row. It should be noted that Wilson has never received an MVP vote in his NFL career.
Somehow, we see that changing this year, but just not today. The Seahawks’ new defensive line-by-committee, sans Jadeveon Clowney, worked well together but the Seattle ‘D’ still surrendered 506 yards of offense in their win over Atlanta.
Furthermore, HC Pete Carroll has developed a dichotomy that is not to his liking, going 54-35-6 ATS in his NFL career as a dog but just 66-72-6 ATS when laying points, including 19-31-1 ATS when coming off a win of more than 10 points.
That sets the stage for another Carroll gem, as he is 0-4 ATS in his NFL career as a home favorite against AFC East opponents when Carroll’s crew is coming off a win.
Then there is the Seahawks’ 1-4 ATS record as home chalk in this series. And speaking of head coaches, New England’s Bill Belichick is 6-0 SUATS in his career as a dog or favorite of 1 or fewer points in September when coming off a win.