In Friday’s third race for special-weight Florida-bred juvenile fillies, there’s little question that the white hot Mark Casse shed will start the favorite, Royal Rocker (9-5), and she will be a very tough out off her recent distant placing to Opolina, a well regarded contender in the Alcibiades Stakes on opening day at Keeneland.
Obviously, this should be easier.
But the filly who finished third, Capetown Candy (3-1), was only two lengths behind the Casse filly and has a solid upset chance.
While not as fast on figures at the favorite, she never has taken a backward step in three career starts. She has tactical speed, pole position and Emisael Jaramillo.
Of greater significance perhaps is that this is a daughter of Uncaptured, whose offspring win at a solid 14% on Tapeta Track.
Trainer Enrique Torrez wins at a profitable 18% rate when running his horses back with this timing. We expect the filly to show a lot more aggressiveness in her second start for this outfit as opposed to her last run at Gulfstream, SEP 17, Race 2.
Taking Capetown Candy to win at 5-2 or greater, and a quinella with fast working Royal Rocker, for a barn that has won five of its last 17 runs throughout last week’s races.