The Sunday feature in Oldsmar is an NX3 optional going nine furlongs on the turf that offers an opportunity for a minor upset. Carom (7-5) is a legitimate early line favorite considering she won her last at the trip on turf at Belmont Park and ships in fresh for Saffie Joseph Jr. who’s given the assignment to Daniel Centeno.
But she is not significantly better on the Thoro-Graph scale than Bramble Queen (3-1), who also is coming in with the same type of spacing only she owns the better resume as a winner of 11 of 37 starts but, of greater significance, she owns a very worthy (7) 4-1-0 slate over the local course.
Further, her tactical speed should keep her in tough with the early leaders until Jesus Castanon decides it’s time to push the button. The fact that she’s won at the trip in only two starts and sheds eight pounds off her recent state-bred stakes score in Illinois and is getting five pounds from the public choice increases the appeal.
Taking Bramble Queen to win at 2-1 or greater and exacta boxes with Carom and A Thread of Blue (6-1), shipping north for Kent Sweezey, cutting back to a more suitable distance. For an example of her solid late kick, check out her run at Arlington Park, AUG 14, Race 5.