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The Conscience of Thoroughbred Racing

SURVIVE AND ADVANCE WAGERING: MADNESS ON A SIMULCAST PREP SATURDAY IN MARCH

[A’s, B’s and C’s listed in order of preference]

TAMPA BAY DOWNS

G2 Tampa Bay Derby:

A: Sole Volante (2-1), Chance It (5-2)

B: Bye Bye Melvin (20-1), Market Analysis (8-1), Spa City (10-1)

C: Tons of Gold (30-1)

Tampa Bay Oaks:

A: Walk in Marrakesh (3-1), Ivyetsu (6-1), Micheline (5-1)

C: Correctness (20-1), Outburst (8-1), New York Groove (7-2)

AQUEDUCT

Busher Stakes

A. Mo City (8-1), Lake Avenue (1-1)

B. Maedean (5-2), Water White (8-1)

C. Inveterate (20-1 ), Persisto (12-1 ), Panthera Onca (15-1)

G2 Gotham Stakes

A. Attachment Rate (9-2), Mischevious Alex (3-1), Untitled (4-1)

C. Necker Island (12-1), War Stopper (5-1), Montauk Traffic (6-1)

G2 San Felipe Stakes

A. Thousand Words (9-5), Storm The Court (5-1)

B. Honor A.P. (4-1), Authentic (6-5)

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3 Responses

  1. TB Derby:
    Why is the Pletcher-trained Unrighteous’s (20-1) close second to Spa City being ignored here and elsewhere?
    Super Box: Chance It, Sole Volante, Spa City, Unrighteous

    Gotham:
    Attachment Rate is my single in any horizontal exotics.
    Super: Attachment Rate // Mischievous Alex // ALL // ALL (leverage EXA?)

    San Felipe:
    Super: Thousand Words // Authentic, Honor A.P., Storm The Court // … // …

    1. Lots of logical plays for sure, but don’t expect to make a score unless Unrighteous. Further, it’s been my experience that even if ALL bombs finish 3-4, hooking up two favorites drastically curtails any chance of fair value…

  2. Unrighteous’s second to Spa City is probably being ignored because it was a maiden race; I.e., horses who have never won a race.
    Stuff happens but that’s not the way to bet.

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