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TAMPA BAY TODAY – APR 10

Almost got it all in Saturday’s finale when Bet, 14-1, held determinedly for place after setting the pace throughout–what was he doing on the lead?!–and will continue on search for value on the Tampa turf undeterred.

Today’s seventh is a very competitive event in which a solid case can be made for four runners. The tie-breaker for us was taking the one who was holding the hot hand.

No one has been hotter than trainer Juan Arriagada, who was been winning at a 30% clip the last three months and batting 24% when he reaches out for jockey Roberto Alvarado Jr. and a profitable 23% first time off the claim. So much for nurture.

As to the Pioneer of the Nile 3-year-old, his Thoro-Graph figures put him squarely in the middle of this, he’s won half his four turf starts, 2 of 3 at today trip and 1 of 2 over the Oldsmar oval.

Further, we love the idea that following the JAN 30 claim, he gave him time, has worked him on a weekly schedule the last months.

Confidently, Pharoah’s Prophecy is making a class rise from the $20,000 claim price to the $32,000 level, even though he could have run against weaker competition.

The price should be assured for the runner who just missed last out after winning his prior at today’s mile trip. The team is profitable despite a routine 14% success rate when teaming up. Check out the video on him win: Tampa Bay Downs, JAN 9, Race 8.

Taking Pharoah’s Prophecy to win at 6-1 or greater and key-boxing trifectas with Great Britain (4-1), Venetian Triumph (3-1) and Artie’s Angel (6-1).

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