By Marc Lawrence — Kansas St over TEXAS by 8
The Wildcats let us down in a major way last week when they fell, 20-10, at home against Baylor as their previously-peaking offense went MIA versus the Bears. The output marked only the 4th time in 106 games since 1996 that the Cats failed to tally more than 10 points at home in a conference game – from a team no less that was riding a 4-0 SUATS win skein since the return of star QB Skylar Thompson. Ah, the best laid plans!
Continuing with the ‘major letdown’ theme in today’s matchup, is there any team in America right now that can equal the Longhorns’ suffering in their fever-dream-from-hell season? Texas lost AGAIN last week at West Virginia, dropping its sixth straight game for the first time since ‘Peanuts’ ruled American comic strips in 1956. The loss to the Mountaineers left the 4-7 Horns home for the holidays, snapping a 4-for-4 bowl skein under recently fired head coach Tom Herman, who went 31-16 while at UT.
While all that chaos and drama takes place on the opposite sideline, Kansas State can finish with a winning record in Big 12 play this year, and the Wildcats certainly bring the credentials. Not only are the Manhattan Cats 5-1 ATS in this series of late when coming off a SUATS loss, they’re also an impressive 6-0-1 ATS as road favorites or road dogs of 3 or less points. Head coach Chris Klieman does not suffer SUATS losses lightly, going 6-1 ATS in his last seven tries in that role. Coach K also boasts an 11-3 SU and 10-2 ATS mark versus .500 or fewer foes, including 7-1 SU and 8-0 ATS the last eight.
And we can’t forget last year’s horrific 69-31 loss to Texas, especially with the Horns now 3-8 ATS at home versus a revenging conference opponent. We can almost hear the “Bring Back Herman” chants as you read this.
THE CLINCHER: College Football teams on a 6-game-exact losing streak are 3-22 SU and 8-15 ATS at home in their final game of the regular season, including 0-5 ATS as either a favorite or a dog of fewer than 3 points.