When it comes to deciphering today’s eighth race for maiden allowance types going a mile on the Tampa turf, the race is more ab out what you don’t see than what you do. In other words, a good spot to throw deep.
There are first-time starters from top barns; Chad Brown has the early line favorite and Catherine Day Phillips charge has two winning siblings that both won on turf. They figure to be live.
So is Harpoon Harry (7-2) who has earned competitive figures consistently, suits the race dynamics, is nicely drawn and Team Blair/Castanon exit a key race that has produced two next out winners.
Now let’s take a between-the-lines look at Brother in Arms (8-1), who exits that same race, Tampa Bay Downs, JAN 29, Race 8, literally and figuratively, and was returning from a one-year layup with a barn change from Bill Mott to Eoin Harty.
The War Front gelding had no trouble in there, a clean trip three wide around the course, but was one-paced until a rival tried to swoop him on the final turn. ‘Arms’ engaged, but only briefly, finished with energy without threatening in a race he appeared to need, mentally at least.
We’re going to read into the PPs here. Brother in Arms had only five workouts for his return from a long break. But subsequent to his effort in the same key race as Harpoon Harry, he worked thrice, including a bullet half-mile 12 days after the dullish comebacker.
That drill was followed by two at five furlongs, adding more conditioning to the speed he showed in the Feb 10 move and Harty makes a switch to a strong finishing Jose Batista. Given an outside draw, the early line should hold.
Taking Brother in Arms to win at 8-1 or greater and key-boxing trifecta first and second with the two newcomers, Snow’s Island (6-1) and Supply Chain (9-5), and Harpoon Harry.