The Horse Race Insider is a privately owned magazine. All copyrights reserved. “Bet with your head, not over it.”

The Conscience of Thoroughbred Racing


Thought we’d take a look at today’s finale for special-weight three-year-olds sprinting six furlongs, if not for today’s bankroll but for tomorrow’s, with seven of the 11 fillies making debuts.

Of the four that have run, two stand out; favorite Rocoded (2-1), making her third start this year, and Lily Chaser (6-1), making her third start of her career and exiting a common race on March 7.

The favorite will be a tough out based on her too-late rally for third after angling off the fence leaving headstretch in her latest, losing to a blowout winner in a fast final quarter-mile. Ian Wilkes taps hot-riding Samy Camacho for the assignment.

But Lily Chaser is more interesting based on a probable very square price and her most recent trip. Even with better luck, there would have been no beating a well backed Christophe Clement newcomer in there but had absolutely no chance given the circumstances.

It’s not that she was pin-balled at the start after leaving her inside #2 slip but it was happened thereafter. She is green, and might have been reacting to the kickback, but the rider angled her out and out and out, until she was widest of all and losing any chance of winning with a half-mile remaining.

She rallied while continuing impossibly wide and still managed to finish ahead of three rivals. The productive Jordan Blair switches to Raul Mena here–4 for his last 7 through Thursday–and her half-mile breeze was 11th fastest of 96 three-year-olds who worked four furlongs this week.

Check out the Tampa Bay Today Video and explain to me what the rider aboard ‘Lily’ was thinking, Tampa RACE 4, MAR 28. We’re taking her to win at 5-1 or greater and key boxing her 1-2 in 50-Cent trifectas with the favorite and both Tom Proctor first-timers, Ski Bunny (4-1) and Mille Fleurs (6-1), who have taken turns outworking each other.

Facebook Share
Twitter Share
LinkedIn Share

⚠ Before you comment

Our staff likes nothing better than to engage with the HRI Faithful and provide a forum for interaction on horseracing and sports. In that spirit, please be kind and reasonable; keep the language clean, and the tone civil. Comments from those who cannot comply will be deleted. Thank you.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *