Win or lose, today’s five stakes events from all-turf-all-the-time Kentucky Downs promise to be an entertaining show. But making there is a familiar grind for players who can negotiate the form.
Perhaps more than at any another American venues, gambling there certainly has it ups and downs (rim shot, here).
Let’s plow-in straightaway:
RACE 7 Kentucky Downs Ladies Turf
MOST PROBABLE WINNER: Regal Glory (6-5) has been carefully pointed here, fresh and consistently fastest.
THE BET: Regal Glory at early line odds or greater
EXOTICA: Exacta key-box Regal Glory with Secret Passage (4-1) and Tapit Today (5-1). Trifecta key Regal Glory over the two rivals listed here, including English Affair.
Ladies Turf Sprint
MOST PROBABLE WINNER: Got Stormy (2-1) looked like she was back to the 2019 model in Fourstardave; turn-back trip could be perfect for her style.
THE BET: Cariba (8-1) to win at 9-2 or greater
EXOTICA: Exacta key-box Got Stormy with Cariba and Kimari (4-1). Cold trifecta keying Got Stormy over the two above, adding price shot Quebec (30-1) to the mix.
Juvenile Turf Sprint
MOST PROBABLE WINNER: Outadore (2-1) visually impressed taking debut at Spa
THE BET: Fauci (5-2) to win at early line odds or greater, and the Wesley Ward exacta box
EXOTICA: Keying the Ward fillies on top and filling the super-exotics with County Final (9-2), Boss Bear (20-1), Bodenheimer (6-1) and Cowan (8-1)
Kentucky Downs Turf Cup
MOST PROBABLE WINNER: Zulu Alpha (7-5), the most accomplished
THE BET: Arklow (9-2) to win at 4-1 or greater, an exacta box with ‘Zulu’, and a trifecta key using ‘Zulu’ first and second with Arklow, Red Knight (12-1) and Hierarchy (10-1)
EXOTICA: Key Zulu Alpha in super-exotics over Arklow (9-2) and Red Knight (12-1), filling below that, preferentially, with Hierarchy (10-1), Enos (20-1), Standard Deviation (12-1), Grand Journey (15-1) and He’s No Lemon (10-1)
Kentucky Downs Turf Sprint
MOST PROBABLE WINNER: Imprimis (8-1) off good comeback and good troubled try over course last year behind Totally Boss
THE BET: Imprimis to win at 4-1 or greater and key-boxing Imprimis in exactas with Totally Boss, Bound for Nowhere (5-1) and Stubbins (6-1)
EXOTICA: As the vertical play above, adding to the super-exotics mix Richiesinthehouse (15-1) Archidust (12-1), Front Run the Fed (5-1) and Kanthaka (5-1)
For those so inclined, Kentucky Downs offers a late Pick 5 and subsequent late Pick 4 with a 14% takeout