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The Conscience of Thoroughbred Racing

TAMPA BAY TODAY – APR 29

With rain expected throughout Florida Friday, we will forsake our favorite turf surface in favor of a race that won’t have to be rescheduled because of the atmospherics.

And in this case, a little rain will do Codetowin (5-1) a lot of good. Trainer Jon Arnett knows this as this horse ran his best in two races for Arnett.

Subsequently, Arnett lost him to Douglass Nunn who saddled him to romp in $5K company but since getting him back three starts ago, he’s protected him in optional events ever since.

When the track is wet, this horse runs a winning race even when he doesn’t quite get there. But he’s been highly competitive since 2021, whether it be Prairie Meadows, Hawthorne, or the breakthrough win in Tampa.

See that one for yourself: Tampa Bay Downs, JAN 26, Race 8. But here are the clinchers.

Remarkably, Arnett is a profitable 23% lifetime with his wet track runners, and this gelding’s sire, Chaaleb, gets wet track runners to win at a 27% rate–and it’s no small sample. We’re going all in.

Taking Codetowin at 4-1 or greater and boxing exacta with Gerald Bennett’s Arcadia Calls (3-1).

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