By Marc Lawrence — ESPN sports wagering columnist Davis Purdum reports that professional bettor Mark DeRosa was on a plane back from Atlantic City after last year’s Super Bowl when he got a clear picture of what would turn out to be one of the biggest scores of his career. DeRosa believed Tom Brady was going to leave New England in the offseason and that Tampa Bay was one of the most likely landing spots. Sportsbooks, however, disagreed and listed the Buccaneers around 50-1 in their odds on where Brady would play in the 2020 season. Bookmakers made Brady returning to New England a heavy, odds-on favorite. “The books were pricing it like it was a 75% chance that he returns [to New England],” DeRosa said. “I thought there was a 75% chance that he didn’t return, so the market was really way off. We had about $11,000 or so on the Bucs to win $400,000 on the NFC Championship. And then we’ve got like another $8,000 or $9,000 to win the Super Bowl at 60-1.” To read more on this possible big score click here.
The 2020 college football season officially came to a close with Alabama topping Ohio State in the 2021 College Football Playoff National Championship Game. But it is never too early to start thinking about who is going to win it all a year from now. Not surprisingly, Alabama is the way-too-early favorite to win the national championship next season. The Crimson Tide are listed as the top favorite at +300 to win it all. The Clemson Tigers are right behind Alabama with the second-best odds on the board at +350, followed by this past season’s runners-up, Ohio State (+500). Oklahoma (+700) and Georgia (+800) round out the top five. It’s time for the NCAA to add a wrinkle (read: at least two more teams) to the playoff picture. Otherwise it will continue as the yawn-fest it has dwarfed into.
Grinding Out The Profits
From the Playbook Basketball Newsletter: A logjam of teams remains in pursuit of Baylor in the Big 12 conference race and tonight the 2nd-place team, Texas, gets their shot at bringing down the Bears. The 16-0 Bears show up off a bout with SEC foe Auburn, and they’re a ripe-for-the-taking with a 2-15 SU mark in this series with Texas when Baylor enters off a non-conference caper. Toss in the fact that Longhorn head coach Shaka Smart’s teams are 70-49 ATS in his career as a dog, including 7-0 SUATS the last seven games, and we smell an upset in Austin.