While she may not have won her last race, I think you’ll agree that the effort of Morning Colors at GULFSTREAM PARK, SEP 12, Race 5 was more than good enough to handle the group she meets today. Check to see if you agree.
She chased the pace from the inside in a strongly run 5-furlongs on the turf and stayed on gamely for place. Not only is she clearly faster than this group, but she remains forward looking.
She never raced at this reduced level as she meets limited winners for the first time in this non-winners of 2 lifetime group.
Trainer Lisa Lewis is profitable with sprinters, winning at a 20% rate recently, the filly has conditioning given longer trip in three starts prior to her most recent, and Rajiv Maragh takes a return call.
Given the trip, she will save ground and likely to stalk from close range given her first experience on a synthetic surface for which, as a daughter of Midshipman, she is well suited as the breed has a worthy 17% strike rate on All-Weather surfaces according to Thoro-Graph stats.
We try to avoid heavy favorites when possible but don’t see that as being prudent here as Friday’s fifth ends the Early Pick 5 while simultaneously starting the Late Pick 5. Whichever sequence is chosen, horizontal players would be wise to consider her potential single material.
We’ll take her to win if the early line of 1-1 is available, single her in Pick 3s and box and exacta with Green Gal (6-1), a daughter of the underrated synth sire, Wrote (19%).