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The Conscience of Thoroughbred Racing


On paper, the horse with the most accomplished record, the one that earns consistently fast figures on anyone’s scale is Call Paul (5-2).

Call Paul never has run on turf but has an enviable sprint record and his Jason Servis is a profitable 30% with grass debut types. Everyone wants to win in Saratoga and NYRA Board member Michael Dubb is no exception.

Besides, if he doesn’t win, there’s no real down side; he’s already a multiple graded winner, including the G2 Saratoga Special last summer at 2. Not interesting to us.

The favorite in this open race should be, in our opinion, Listing (4-1). He too is a multiple stakes winner but not at the same level, The Cal-bred won a state-bred stakes down the hill at Santa Anita and an overnight turf sprint.

So he has turf-sprint stamina to win at 6-1/2 furlongs and enough gas to lead throughout going 5 furlongs. Performance figures are competitive, forward, and has good spacing. Joel Rosario renews his relationship with Ben Cecil, whose barn has been live.

Others also interest, Abyssinian (7-2) never has taken a backward step, has the pole with Johnny for Wesley Ward and as a filly gets eight pounds from our choice.

Gladiator King (8-1) is fast, and is 2-for-3 at the trip. Low profile connects should ensure more than fair odds and we think ( 20-1) on Neverland Rock for the Asmussen-Santana team is out of line.

But Listing looks like the right fit; 5-2 would be fair enough. THe price horses above could make for some exotic fun.

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2 Responses

  1. JP, You previously mentioned that you would be working a paid Saratoga analysis TV-gig this season . Is there any way for HRI followers to gain access to your coverage? You-tube perhaps? I’m quite sure that I am not alone in my interest in viewing, or even listening to your give and take. Any chance of your providing a link?

    P.S. Added suggestion. How about you start a running $$$ win/loss tab on the current meets only going forward. Skip the past 13/14 years running and start today with a clean slate. Nobody wins every year and every meet. Seems silly to even try. The body of work is what sustains your reputation as a “turn to guy” to be listened to. You and your good friend Cornman will both always have my respect.

    Riders Up friend. Have a great meet.

  2. McD, no more money totals, and here’s why. You start making selections based on your won/loss totals instead of remaining objective. With money totals, you feel compelled to pick certain horses based on how you project the odds and what the bottom line looks like.
    Now we’re always going to suggest fair odds for readers to accept on our selection(s), and will always post previous day’s results, win or lose…

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