STATS DON’T LIE

Inside The Stats—-It’s not the stats that lie; it’s the people who interpret them that do. The first official week of the 2019 College Football season is in the books and with it a few major upsets and a few disappointing efforts. A total of 14 FBS teams won games but were outgained in the contest. Two teams managed to win despite losing the stats by over 100 years each: Wyoming (-148) and Nevada (-115). In addition, no less than four teams were upended as double-digit favorites last week, leaving them to wonder where they stand this season. They included Arizona (-10.5), Missouri (-15.5), Purdue (-11.5), and Tennessee (-24.5), who all went down in flames. And that was on the heels of Arizona gagging as a 10.5-point road favorite at Hawaii two weeks ago. Our database notes that there have been a total of 92 teams to lose their first game of the campaign as a double-digit favorite. These teams went 35-40 ATS overall in their next game… but 11-6 ATS as right-back double-digit chalk.

On Today’s Scorecard

This nugget on this evening’s Bears-Packers NFL game compliments of Victor King and this week’s TOTALS Tipsheet: GREEN BAY: 6-0 Over before Minnesota… 4-0 Over Thursday away… 7-1 Over Game One… 4-1 Over as dogs less than 5 points… 4-1 Over in first of BB division games … CHICAGO: 3-0 Over Thursday home… 6-1 Over as conference HF’s with O/U more than 42 points… 4-1 Over in this series… Lots of juicy “Over” numbers for sure.

Teaser Time

This coach loves swimming in undefeated waters where his teams are 36-7 SU in games without a loss on the season – with only THREE losses by more than 10 points. In addition, his teams are 37-7 SU in all non-conference clashes. Who is this week’s live double-digit dog? Check it out in this week’s Playbook football Newsletter.
 
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